--- title: "sus case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "sus ($10.69) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 18 items with odds, observed 85.15% over 5,599 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sus rendered: 2026-11-11T15:04Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [sus](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sus) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · sus A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sus?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sus?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sus) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sus?window=all) Price · $10.69 · 15.27 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $9.72 from 18 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.15% · 5,599 openings, odds method Variance · 7.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 22 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 92.03% ±18.02 906 openings 7 days · 85.98% ±7.61 4,959 openings 30 days · 85.15% ±7.16 5,599 openings since tracking started · 85.15% ±7.16 5,599 openings 73.5% 92.0% 110.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sus?window=24h) | 906 | 92.03% ±18.0 | +0.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sus?window=7d) | 4,959 | 85.98% ±7.61 | −1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sus) | 5,599 | 85.15% ±7.16 | −1.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sus?window=all) | 5,599 | 85.15% ±7.16 | −1.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 18 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 5,599 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| DickStacy (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-gold-katowice-2019) | 1 in 10,000 | $624 891 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [AUG \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,111 | $328 468 coins | 3.0% | 0 | 5.0 | 0.00× | | [Sticker \| DickStacy (Gold) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-gold-berlin-2019) | 1 in 333 | $273 390 coins | 8.4% | 12 | 16.8 | 0.71× | | [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $190 272 coins | 7.8% | 28 | 22.4 | 1.25× | | [Sticker \| Golden (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-golden-gold-katowice-2019) | 1 in 200 | $130 186 coins | 6.7% | 26 | 28.0 | 0.93× | | [Sticker \| Pimp (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pimp-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 143 | $98.00 140 coins | 7.1% | 30 | 39.2 | 0.77× | | [Sticker \| FugLy (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fugly-gold-katowice-2019) | 1 in 40 | $92.40 132 coins | 23.8% | 142 | 140.0 | 1.01× | | [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $43.83 62.61 coins | 4.5% | 58 | 56.0 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| DickStacy (Foil) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-foil-katowice-2019) | 1 in 50 | $41.13 58.76 coins | 8.5% | 95 | 112.0 | 0.85× | | [Sticker \| DickStacy (Foil) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-foil-berlin-2019) | 1 in 40 | $26.03 37.18 coins | 6.7% | 146 | 140.0 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| Pimp \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-pimp-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 50 | $25.83 36.9 coins | 5.3% | 105 | 112.0 | 0.94× | | [Sticker \| DickStacy \| Katowice 2019 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-katowice-2019) | 1 in 25 | $16.40 23.43 coins | 6.8% | 246 | 224.0 | 1.10× | | [Sticker \| DickStacy \| Berlin 2019 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-berlin-2019) | 1 in 25 | $11.15 15.93 coins | 4.6% | 223 | 224.0 | 1.00× | | [Sticker \| BIG (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-big-holo-antwerp-2022) | 16.0% | $1.22 1.74 coins | 2.0% | 934 | 895.8 | 1.04× | | [Sticker \| BIG (Gold) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-big-gold-antwerp-2022) | 16.0% | $1.06 1.52 coins | 1.8% | 891 | 895.8 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| floppy (Holo) \| Antwerp 2022 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-floppy-holo-antwerp-2022) | 16.0% | $0.81 1.16 coins | 1.3% | 890 | 895.8 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| floppy (Holo) \| Paris 2023 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-floppy-holo-paris-2023) | 16.0% | $0.38 0.54 coins | 0.6% | 910 | 895.8 | 1.02× | | [Sticker \| From The Deep (Glitter) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-from-the-deep-glitter) | 16.0% | $0.29 0.42 coins | 0.5% | 863 | 895.8 | 0.96× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=sus) [Sticker | BIG (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-big-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $10.69 15.27 coins $1.22 1.74 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC [Sticker | BIG (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-big-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $10.69 15.27 coins $1.06 1.52 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC [Sticker | From The Deep (Glitter) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-from-the-deep-glitter) Hidden $10.69 15.27 coins $0.29 0.42 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC [Sticker | From The Deep (Glitter) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-from-the-deep-glitter) [CekoS](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/CekoS) $10.69 15.27 coins $0.29 0.42 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC [Sticker | DickStacy (Foil) | Berlin 2019 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-foil-berlin-2019) Hidden $10.69 15.27 coins $26.03 37.18 coins 2.43x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC [Sticker | DickStacy | Katowice 2019 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-dickstacy-katowice-2019) Hidden $10.69 15.27 coins $16.40 23.43 coins 1.53x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC [Sticker | From The Deep (Glitter) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-from-the-deep-glitter) Hidden $10.69 15.27 coins $0.29 0.42 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [Sticker | floppy (Holo) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-floppy-holo-antwerp-2022) Hidden $10.69 15.27 coins $0.81 1.16 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [Sticker | From The Deep (Glitter) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-from-the-deep-glitter) Hidden $10.69 15.27 coins $0.29 0.42 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [Sticker | BIG (Gold) | Antwerp 2022 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-big-gold-antwerp-2022) Hidden $10.69 15.27 coins $1.06 1.52 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $10.69 | 90.91% | 18 | | 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $10.70 | 90.92% | 18 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $10.71 | 90.89% | 18 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $10.94 | 90.88% | 18 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.92 | 90.90% | 18 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 19.3% mil spec 0.5% exotic 48.7% rare 1.0% remarkable 4.5% high 10.0% common 16.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt