--- title: "Sweet Tooth case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Sweet Tooth ($17.05) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 11 items with odds, observed 90.75% over 2,473 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sweet-tooth rendered: 2026-11-11T16:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Sweet Tooth](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sweet-tooth) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Sweet Tooth A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sweet-tooth?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sweet-tooth?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sweet-tooth) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sweet-tooth?window=all) Price · $17.05 · 24.36 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $15.50 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.75% · 2,473 openings, odds method Variance · 4.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 71.45% ±27.76 244 openings 7 days · 88.88% ±9.42 2,130 openings 30 days · 90.75% ±8.75 2,473 openings since tracking started · 90.75% ±8.75 2,473 openings 43.0% 71.5% 100.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sweet-tooth?window=24h) | 244 | 71.45% ±27.8 | −1.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sweet-tooth?window=7d) | 2,130 | 88.88% ±9.42 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sweet-tooth) | 2,473 | 90.75% ±8.75 | −0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/sweet-tooth?window=all) | 2,473 | 90.75% ±8.75 | −0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,473 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Synth Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-synth-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $271 387 coins | 1.7% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $225 321 coins | 13.0% | 28 | 22.3 | 1.26× | | [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $110 157 coins | 14.2% | 48 | 49.5 | 0.97× | | [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $109 156 coins | 14.1% | 57 | 49.5 | 1.15× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $102 145 coins | 13.1% | 45 | 49.5 | 0.91× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $99.40 142 coins | 12.8% | 35 | 49.5 | 0.71× | | [Nova \| Baroque Orange (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-baroque-orange-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $88.20 126 coins | 11.4% | 55 | 49.5 | 1.11× | | [P250 \| Splash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $38.54 55.06 coins | 5.0% | 56 | 49.5 | 1.13× | | [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $32.17 45.95 coins | 10.4% | 114 | 123.7 | 0.92× | | [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $27.62 39.45 coins | 3.6% | 31 | 49.5 | 0.63× | | [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 80.0% | $0.14 0.2 coins | 0.7% | 2,002 | 1978.4 | 1.01× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=sweet-tooth) [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Olaux](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Olaux) $17.05 24.36 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $17.05 24.36 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $17.05 24.36 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:33 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $17.05 24.36 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:33 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $17.05 24.36 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:33 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Lajjan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lajjan) $17.05 24.36 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 16:33 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $17.05 24.36 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:37 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) Hidden $17.05 24.36 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:37 UTC [AWP | Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) [Golf](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Golf) $17.05 24.36 coins $0.14 0.2 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 14:37 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-factory-new) Hidden $17.05 24.36 coins $110 157 coins 6.44x 2026-11-11 14:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 02:02 UTC | $17.05 | 90.90% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $17.06 | 90.90% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $17.02 | 90.90% | 11 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $17.19 | 90.91% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 2.1% covert 6.9% red 7.0% violet 2.0% classified 2.0% industrial 80.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt