---
title: "Tank case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Tank ($10.36) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.93% from 14 items with odds, observed 88.06% over 3,368 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tank
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Tank](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tank)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Tank

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tank?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tank?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tank) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tank?window=all)

Price · $10.36 · 14.8 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.93% · EV $9.42 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.06% · 3,368 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 82.77% ±23.46 339 openings

7 days · 89.07% ±8.36 2,680 openings

30 days · 88.06% ±7.46 3,368 openings

since tracking started · 88.06% ±7.46 3,368 openings

58.5% 82.8% 107.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tank?window=24h) | 339 | 82.77% ±23.5 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tank?window=7d) | 2,680 | 89.07% ±8.36 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tank) | 3,368 | 88.06% ±7.46 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tank?window=all) | 3,368 | 88.06% ±7.46 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,368 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,606 2,294 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 20,000 | $388 554 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $274 392 coins | 1.5% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [P2000 \| Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $81.20 116 coins | 51.7% | 198 | 202.1 | 0.98× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000 | $62.54 89.35 coins | 0.7% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.30× |
| [Glock-18 \| AXIA (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-axia-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $18.12 25.89 coins | 5.8% | 113 | 101.0 | 1.12× |
| [MP7 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-fade-factory-new) | 10.0% | $9.84 14.06 coins | 10.4% | 347 | 336.8 | 1.03× |
| [MAC-10 \| Curse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-curse-factory-new) | 10.0% | $9.67 13.82 coins | 10.3% | 330 | 336.8 | 0.98× |
| [Seal Team 6 Soldier \| NSWC SEAL agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/seal-team-6-soldier-nswc-seal) | 1 in 33 | $8.81 12.59 coins | 2.8% | 69 | 101.0 | 0.68× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 10.8% | $4.90 7 coins | 5.6% | 365 | 365.1 | 1.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $4.57 6.53 coins | 4.4% | 310 | 303.1 | 1.02× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Urban Shock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-battle-scarred) | 15.0% | $1.40 2 coins | 2.2% | 514 | 505.2 | 1.02× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-field-tested) | 15.0% | $1.17 1.67 coins | 1.9% | 477 | 505.2 | 0.94× |
| [G3SG1 \| Polar Camo (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-polar-camo-factory-new) | 18.0% | $0.90 1.28 coins | 1.7% | 643 | 606.2 | 1.06× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=tank)

[G3SG1 | Polar Camo (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-polar-camo-factory-new) Hidden $10.36 14.8 coins $0.90 1.28 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:12 UTC

[MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-field-tested) [SuperbukeN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/SuperbukeN) $10.36 14.8 coins $1.17 1.67 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:12 UTC

[P2000 | Fire Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-fire-elemental-minimal-wear) Hidden $10.36 14.8 coins $81.20 116 coins 7.84x 2026-11-11 18:12 UTC

[MAG-7 | Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-field-tested) Hidden $10.36 14.8 coins $1.17 1.67 coins 0.11x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC

[G3SG1 | Polar Camo (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-polar-camo-factory-new) Hidden $10.36 14.8 coins $0.90 1.28 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) [SuperbukeN](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/SuperbukeN) $10.36 14.8 coins $4.90 7 coins 0.47x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC

[MAC-10 | Curse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-curse-factory-new) Hidden $10.36 14.8 coins $9.67 13.82 coins 0.93x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Urban Shock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-urban-shock-battle-scarred) Hidden $10.36 14.8 coins $1.40 2 coins 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:08 UTC

[G3SG1 | Polar Camo (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-polar-camo-factory-new) Hidden $10.36 14.8 coins $0.90 1.28 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 18:08 UTC

[Seal Team 6 Soldier | NSWC SEAL agent · distinguished](https://gambatracker.com/items/seal-team-6-soldier-nswc-seal) Hidden $10.36 14.8 coins $8.81 12.59 coins 0.85x 2026-11-11 18:08 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $10.36 | 90.93% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $10.33 | 90.90% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $10.44 | 90.88% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $10.43 | 90.94% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 6.1% extraordinary 0.1% rare 3.0% restricted 50.0% distinguished 3.0% classified 10.8% uncommon 9.0% consumer 18.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.93 on average: an expected loss of $9.07 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt