---
title: "Team Terrorist case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Team Terrorist ($31.21) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 19 items with odds, observed 95.08% over 474 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/team-terrorist
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:01Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Team Terrorist](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/team-terrorist)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Team Terrorist

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/team-terrorist?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/team-terrorist?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/team-terrorist) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/team-terrorist?window=all)

Price · $31.21 · 44.59 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $28.38 from 19 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.08% · 474 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 64.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 28 openings · below min

7 days · 94.11% ±15.75 429 openings

30 days · 95.08% ±14.99 474 openings

since tracking started · 95.08% ±14.99 474 openings

40.5% 101.8% 163.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/team-terrorist?window=24h) | 28 | 101.77% ±60.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/team-terrorist?window=7d) | 429 | 94.11% ±15.8 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/team-terrorist) | 474 | 95.08% ±15.0 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/team-terrorist?window=all) | 474 | 95.08% ±15.0 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 474 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,545 2,207 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,142 1,631 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,075 | $947 1,353 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $477 682 coins | 3.4% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 1,250 | $451 644 coins | 1.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $363 519 coins | 6.4% | 5 | 2.4 | 2.11× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $256 366 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 1 in 100 | $121 173 coins | 4.3% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.05× |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $103 147 coins | 32.6% | 37 | 42.7 | 0.87× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $102 145 coins | 3.6% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.84× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $52.74 75.35 coins | 5.6% | 16 | 14.2 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $41.03 58.61 coins | 8.8% | 23 | 28.8 | 0.80× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $34.25 48.93 coins | 8.4% | 28 | 33.2 | 0.84× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $32.17 45.95 coins | 9.1% | 42 | 37.9 | 1.11× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $22.48 32.12 coins | 1.6% | 8 | 9.5 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $16.08 22.97 coins | 4.5% | 42 | 37.9 | 1.11× |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 12.0% | $11.26 16.08 coins | 4.8% | 54 | 56.9 | 0.95× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-well-worn) | 17.0% | $4.05 5.79 coins | 2.4% | 81 | 80.6 | 1.01× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Fuel Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-well-worn) | 25.0% | $0.80 1.14 coins | 0.7% | 126 | 118.5 | 1.06× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=team-terrorist)

[R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-well-worn) Hidden $31.21 44.59 coins $4.05 5.79 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 07:13 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-well-worn) Hidden $31.21 44.59 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:13 UTC

[Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-battle-scarred) Hidden $31.21 44.59 coins $103 147 coins 3.30x 2026-11-11 07:13 UTC

[AWP | Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) Hidden $31.21 44.59 coins $32.17 45.95 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 07:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) Hidden $31.21 44.59 coins $16.08 22.97 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 07:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) [fast csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/fast%20csgoroll.com) $31.21 44.59 coins $16.08 22.97 coins 0.52x 2026-11-11 07:13 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-well-worn) Hidden $31.21 44.59 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:11 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-well-worn) Hidden $31.21 44.59 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:11 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-well-worn) Hidden $31.21 44.59 coins $4.05 5.79 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 07:11 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Fuel Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-fuel-rod-well-worn) [fast csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/fast%20csgoroll.com) $31.21 44.59 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | $31.21 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $31.21 | 90.90% | 19 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $30.75 | 90.91% | 19 |
| 6 Nov, 22:57 UTC | $30.70 | 90.90% | 19 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $30.70 | 90.92% | 19 |
| 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $30.69 | 90.92% | 19 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $30.69 | 90.90% | 19 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 25.3% restricted 33.5% epic 0.2% classified 41.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt