--- title: "Terror case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Terror ($9.56) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.88% from 14 items with odds, observed 92.75% over 6,595 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/terror rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Terror](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/terror) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Terror A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/terror?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/terror?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/terror) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/terror?window=all) Price · $9.56 · 13.65 coins Advertised RTP · 90.88% · EV $8.68 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.75% · 6,595 openings, odds method Variance · 3.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 17 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 93.56% ±14.27 644 openings 7 days · 92.91% ±4.83 5,562 openings 30 days · 92.75% ±4.44 6,595 openings since tracking started · 92.75% ±4.44 6,595 openings 78.5% 93.5% 108.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/terror?window=24h) | 644 | 93.56% ±14.3 | +0.4σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/terror?window=7d) | 5,562 | 92.91% ±4.83 | +0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/terror) | 6,595 | 92.75% ±4.44 | +0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/terror?window=all) | 6,595 | 92.75% ±4.44 | +0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 6,611 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $189 270 coins | 1.1% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $177 253 coins | 1.0% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 667 | $132 188 coins | 2.3% | 8 | 9.9 | 0.81× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $94.50 135 coins | 1.1% | 10 | 6.6 | 1.51× | | [Sawed-Off \| The Kraken (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-the-kraken-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $79.80 114 coins | 5.5% | 32 | 39.7 | 0.81× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Freehand (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-freehand-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $69.78 99.69 coins | 40.2% | 361 | 330.6 | 1.09× | | [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $59.89 85.56 coins | 0.3% | 1 | 3.3 | 0.30× | | [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $16.14 23.06 coins | 9.3% | 357 | 330.6 | 1.08× | | [MP7 \| Skulls (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $10.23 14.61 coins | 9.4% | 489 | 528.9 | 0.92× | | [MAC-10 \| Curse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-curse-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $9.67 13.82 coins | 8.9% | 536 | 528.9 | 1.01× | | [Glock-18 \| Catacombs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-factory-new) | 20.0% | $4.21 6.01 coins | 9.7% | 1,284 | 1322.2 | 0.97× | | [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 13.0% | $3.68 5.25 coins | 5.5% | 877 | 859.4 | 1.02× | | [XM1014 \| Red Python (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-python-field-tested) | 20.0% | $1.97 2.81 coins | 4.5% | 1,266 | 1322.2 | 0.96× | | [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.50 0.71 coins | 1.1% | 1,384 | 1322.2 | 1.05× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=terror) [XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-python-field-tested) Hidden $9.56 13.65 coins $1.97 2.81 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC [Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) Hidden $9.56 13.65 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 13:24 UTC [Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-factory-new) Hidden $9.56 13.65 coins $4.21 6.01 coins 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC [Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-factory-new) Hidden $9.56 13.65 coins $4.21 6.01 coins 0.44x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC [AUG | Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) Hidden $9.56 13.65 coins $3.68 5.25 coins 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:19 UTC [MP7 | Skulls (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-skulls-field-tested) Hidden $9.56 13.65 coins $10.23 14.61 coins 1.07x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC [Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) Hidden $9.56 13.65 coins $0.50 0.71 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:40 UTC [Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-factory-new) Hidden $9.56 13.65 coins $4.21 6.01 coins 0.44x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [Glock-18 | Catacombs (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-catacombs-factory-new) Hidden $9.56 13.65 coins $4.21 6.01 coins 0.44x 2026-11-11 12:39 UTC [XM1014 | Red Python (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-red-python-field-tested) Hidden $9.56 13.65 coins $1.97 2.81 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $9.56 | 90.88% | 14 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $9.56 | 90.93% | 14 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $9.37 | 90.89% | 14 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $9.37 | 90.89% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 6.0% classified 18.1% mil spec 28.0% restricted 28.0% Mil Spec 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.88 on average: an expected loss of $9.12 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt