--- title: "The Antidote case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Antidote ($67.27) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 11 items with odds, observed 85.55% over 1,600 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-antidote rendered: 2026-11-11T18:55Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [The Antidote](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-antidote) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · The Antidote A case on CSGORoll (25%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-antidote?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-antidote?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-antidote) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-antidote?window=all) Price · $67.27 · 96.1 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $61.15 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.55% · 1,600 openings, odds method Variance · 10.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 40 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 140 openings · below min 7 days · 88.56% ±16.62 1,457 openings 30 days · 85.55% ±15.86 1,600 openings since tracking started · 85.55% ±15.86 1,600 openings 20.0% 74.3% 128.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-antidote?window=24h) | 140 | 74.10% ±53.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-antidote?window=7d) | 1,457 | 88.56% ±16.6 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-antidote) | 1,600 | 85.55% ±15.9 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-antidote?window=all) | 1,600 | 85.55% ±15.9 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,600 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 200 | $1,775 2,535 coins | 14.5% | 11 | 8.0 | 1.38× | | [AWP \| The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $1,528 2,183 coins | 20.0% | 10 | 12.8 | 0.78× | | [★ Karambit \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $999 1,427 coins | 19.6% | 14 | 19.2 | 0.73× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $346 494 coins | 11.3% | 28 | 32.0 | 0.88× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $148 211 coins | 12.1% | 90 | 80.0 | 1.13× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $129 184 coins | 6.3% | 47 | 48.0 | 0.98× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $109 155 coins | 7.1% | 57 | 64.0 | 0.89× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-well-worn) | 1 in 12 | $65.35 93.35 coins | 9.1% | 122 | 136.0 | 0.90× | | [P250 \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 399 | 400.0 | 1.00× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 416 | 400.0 | 1.04× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 406 | 400.0 | 1.01× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $68.05 97.22 coins $1,858 2,655 coins 27.31x 2026-11-07 08:45 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $68.05 97.22 coins $1,858 2,655 coins 27.31x 2026-11-07 08:33 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $68.05 97.22 coins $1,858 2,655 coins 27.31x 2026-11-05 23:52 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $68.05 97.22 coins $1,858 2,655 coins 27.31x 2026-11-05 22:40 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $68.05 97.22 coins $1,858 2,655 coins 27.31x 2026-11-04 22:42 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $68.05 97.22 coins $1,858 2,655 coins 27.31x 2026-11-03 16:21 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [🟢LIVE NOW -> kick.com/budics](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%9F%A2LIVE%20NOW%20-%3E%20kick.com%2Fbudics) $67.27 96.1 coins $1,775 2,535 coins 26.38x 2026-11-10 11:39 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) [🟢LIVE NOW -> kick.com/budics](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%9F%A2LIVE%20NOW%20-%3E%20kick.com%2Fbudics) $67.27 96.1 coins $1,775 2,535 coins 26.38x 2026-11-10 11:38 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $67.27 96.1 coins $1,775 2,535 coins 26.38x 2026-11-10 10:51 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $67.27 96.1 coins $1,775 2,535 coins 26.38x 2026-11-10 10:46 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=the-antidote) [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $67.27 96.1 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) Hidden $67.27 96.1 coins $346 494 coins 5.14x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-well-worn) Hidden $67.27 96.1 coins $65.35 93.35 coins 0.97x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Kickerrrrrrrr](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Kickerrrrrrrr) $67.27 96.1 coins $109 155 coins 1.61x 2026-11-11 17:15 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $67.27 96.1 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:17 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $67.27 96.1 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:17 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [BeastafiedBeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BeastafiedBeast) $67.27 96.1 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:17 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $67.27 96.1 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:17 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $67.27 96.1 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:13 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $67.27 96.1 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:13 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $67.27 | 90.91% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $67.27 | 90.91% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $67.30 | 90.91% | 11 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $68.05 | 90.91% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 13.7% legendary 0.8% extraordinary 10.5% consumer 75.0% best hit $1,858 (27.31x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt