--- title: "The Archer case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Archer ($21.87) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 15 items with odds, observed 98.56% over 1,185 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-archer rendered: 2026-11-11T20:50Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [The Archer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-archer) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · The Archer A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-archer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-archer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-archer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-archer?window=all) Price · $21.87 · 31.24 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $19.88 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 98.56% · 1,185 openings, odds method Variance · 6.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 16 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 88.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 113.08% ±39.09 151 openings 7 days · 104.32% ±16.91 823 openings 30 days · 98.56% ±14.13 1,185 openings since tracking started · 98.56% ±14.13 1,185 openings 73.5% 113.3% 153.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-archer?window=24h) | 151 | 113.08% ±39.1 | +1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-archer?window=7d) | 823 | 104.32% ±16.9 | +1.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-archer) | 1,185 | 98.56% ±14.1 | +1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-archer?window=all) | 1,185 | 98.56% ±14.1 | +1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,185 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Medusa (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-well-worn) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,775 2,535 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| The Prince (Well-Worn) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-well-worn) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,528 2,183 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AWP \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20,000 | $555 793 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Hand Cannon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-hand-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $318 454 coins | 16.0% | 19 | 11.8 | 1.60× | | [G3SG1 \| Chronos (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $272 388 coins | 27.3% | 21 | 23.7 | 0.89× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 2,000 | $223 318 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $109 156 coins | 16.5% | 44 | 35.5 | 1.24× | | [SCAR-20 \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $24.78 35.4 coins | 6.2% | 61 | 59.3 | 1.03× | | [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $19.19 27.42 coins | 6.8% | 93 | 83.0 | 1.12× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $16.08 22.97 coins | 5.7% | 78 | 83.0 | 0.94× | | [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Pulse (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-pulse-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $12.50 17.85 coins | 7.5% | 140 | 142.2 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Colony IV (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-colony-iv-well-worn) | 10.9% | $9.90 14.14 coins | 5.4% | 118 | 129.6 | 0.91× | | [SG 553 \| Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) | 14.0% | $5.94 8.48 coins | 4.2% | 170 | 165.9 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Darkwing (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-minimal-wear) | 18.0% | $2.21 3.16 coins | 2.0% | 219 | 213.3 | 1.03× | | [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-enforcer-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.86 1.23 coins | 0.9% | 222 | 237.0 | 0.94× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=the-archer) [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.87 31.24 coins $2.21 3.16 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.87 31.24 coins $2.21 3.16 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [SCAR-20 | Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.87 31.24 coins $24.78 35.4 coins 1.13x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [G3SG1 | Chronos (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-factory-new) [BiO-HaZarD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BiO-HaZarD) $21.87 31.24 coins $272 388 coins 12.42x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-enforcer-field-tested) Hidden $21.87 31.24 coins $0.86 1.23 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.87 31.24 coins $2.21 3.16 coins 0.10x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-enforcer-field-tested) Hidden $21.87 31.24 coins $0.86 1.23 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC [SG 553 | Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) Hidden $21.87 31.24 coins $5.94 8.48 coins 0.27x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC [StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-pulse-minimal-wear) Hidden $21.87 31.24 coins $12.50 17.85 coins 0.57x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC [SCAR-20 | Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-minimal-wear) [BiO-HaZarD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BiO-HaZarD) $21.87 31.24 coins $24.78 35.4 coins 1.13x 2026-11-11 20:11 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $21.87 | 90.92% | 15 | | 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $21.91 | 90.92% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $21.90 | 90.90% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $21.87 | 90.91% | 15 | | 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $22.74 | 90.91% | 15 | | 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $22.72 | 90.92% | 15 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $22.65 | 90.91% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.0% legendary 0.0% restricted 72.0% extraordinary 0.1% classified 27.9% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt