--- title: "The Cooler case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Cooler ($43.98) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 10 items with odds, observed 81.88% over 230 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-cooler rendered: 2026-11-11T17:27Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [The Cooler](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-cooler) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · The Cooler A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-cooler?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-cooler?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-cooler) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-cooler?window=all) Price · $43.98 · 62.83 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $39.99 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.88% · 230 openings, odds method Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 31.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 65.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 14 openings · below min 7 days · 83.21% ±16.97 220 openings 30 days · 81.88% ±16.60 230 openings since tracking started · 81.88% ±16.60 230 openings -0.5% 52.0% 104.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-cooler?window=24h) | 14 | 36.70% ±67.0 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-cooler?window=7d) | 220 | 83.21% ±17.0 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-cooler) | 230 | 81.88% ±16.6 | −1.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-cooler?window=all) | 230 | 81.88% ±16.6 | −1.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 230 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Glock-18 \| Twilight Galaxy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-twilight-galaxy-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $402 574 coins | 10.0% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.30× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $109 155 coins | 16.3% | 13 | 13.8 | 0.94× | | [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $96.60 138 coins | 2.4% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 23.0% | $95.20 136 coins | 54.8% | 44 | 52.9 | 0.83× | | [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $77.70 111 coins | 2.9% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.29× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $56.39 80.56 coins | 3.5% | 8 | 5.8 | 1.39× | | [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $25.70 36.72 coins | 4.5% | 14 | 16.1 | 0.87× | | [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $22.16 31.66 coins | 5.5% | 18 | 23.0 | 0.78× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 80 | 57.5 | 1.39× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 23.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 47 | 52.9 | 0.89× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=the-cooler) [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $43.98 62.83 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:27 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $43.98 62.83 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:27 UTC [AK-47 | Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) Hidden $43.98 62.83 coins $109 155 coins 2.47x 2026-11-11 16:27 UTC [AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-battle-scarred) [Pvpbotx](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Pvpbotx) $43.98 62.83 coins $22.16 31.66 coins 0.50x 2026-11-11 16:27 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) [CappeSGOD♛](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/CappeSGOD%E2%99%9B) $43.98 62.83 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:46 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $43.98 62.83 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:46 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $43.98 62.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:46 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $43.98 62.83 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:46 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $43.98 62.83 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:46 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $43.98 62.83 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 08:46 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $43.98 | 90.92% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $44.02 | 90.91% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $43.89 | 90.91% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 8.0% red 6.0% mil spec 1.0% covert 27.0% restricted 10.0% consumer 48.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt