---
title: "The Flash case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "The Flash ($165.63) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 15 items with odds, observed 114.75% over 24 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-flash
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [The Flash](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-flash)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · The Flash

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-flash?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-flash?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-flash) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-flash?window=all)

Price · $165.63 · 237 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $150.57 from 15 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 114.75% · 24 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 65.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 12 openings · below min

30 days · 24 openings · below min

since tracking started · 24 openings · below min

72.5% 140.3% 208.0%

**Small sample.** 24 openings and 4.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-flash?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-flash?window=7d) | 12 | 148.42% ±58.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-flash) | 24 | 114.75% ±41.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-flash?window=all) | 24 | 114.75% ±41.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 24 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,292 1,845 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Arid (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,146 1,637 coins | 7.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,058 1,512 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $937 1,339 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $768 1,097 coins | 10.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $436 623 coins | 11.6% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250 | $371 530 coins | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 12.0% | $262 374 coins | 20.9% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.39× |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 10.0% | $207 296 coins | 13.8% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $181 258 coins | 6.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $102 146 coins | 4.8% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.19× |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 15.0% | $86.10 123 coins | 8.6% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.56× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $49.95 71.36 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 22.3% | $46.28 66.11 coins | 6.8% | 6 | 5.3 | 1.12× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 15.0% | $44.78 63.97 coins | 4.5% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-minimal-wear) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $165 236 coins $1,037 1,482 coins 6.28x 2026-11-04 20:01 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=the-flash)

[M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) Hidden $165 236 coins $202 289 coins 1.22x 2026-11-06 05:49 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [LongKoala](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/LongKoala) $165 236 coins $104 149 coins 0.63x 2026-11-06 05:49 UTC

[M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) Hidden $165 236 coins $202 289 coins 1.22x 2026-11-04 20:04 UTC

[M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $165 236 coins $48.55 69.36 coins 0.29x 2026-11-04 20:04 UTC

[M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) Hidden $165 236 coins $202 289 coins 1.22x 2026-11-04 20:03 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $165 236 coins $435 622 coins 2.63x 2026-11-04 20:03 UTC

[FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) Hidden $165 236 coins $43.29 61.84 coins 0.26x 2026-11-04 20:02 UTC

[FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $165 236 coins $43.29 61.84 coins 0.26x 2026-11-04 20:02 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) Hidden $165 236 coins $435 622 coins 2.63x 2026-11-04 20:01 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-arid-minimal-wear) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $165 236 coins $1,037 1,482 coins 6.28x 2026-11-04 20:01 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $166 | 90.91% | 15 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $166 | 90.91% | 15 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $165 | 90.91% | 15 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 80.6% extraordinary 7.4% restricted 12.0% best hit $1,037 (6.28x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt