---
title: "The Glider case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Glider ($74.24) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 10 items with odds, observed 124.77% over 32 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-glider
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:05Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [The Glider](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-glider)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · The Glider

A case on CSGORoll (40%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-glider?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-glider?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-glider) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-glider?window=all)

Price · $74.24 · 106 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $67.49 from 10 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 124.77% · 32 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 62.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 32 openings · below min

30 days · 32 openings · below min

since tracking started · 32 openings · below min

90.5% 123.5% 156.5%

**Small sample.** 32 openings and 7.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-glider?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-glider?window=7d) | 32 | 124.77% ±30.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-glider) | 32 | 124.77% ±30.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-glider?window=all) | 32 | 124.77% ±30.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 32 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $627 895 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $488 697 coins | 5.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $178 254 coins | 5.3% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-factory-new) | 20.0% | $125 178 coins | 36.9% | 8 | 6.4 | 1.25× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $102 145 coins | 7.5% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.88× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $94.50 135 coins | 14.0% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.25× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $72.80 104 coins | 10.8% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Racing Green (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-battle-scarred) | 12.0% | $26.36 37.66 coins | 4.7% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-well-worn) | 20.0% | $23.72 33.88 coins | 7.0% | 3 | 6.4 | 0.47× |
| [MP9 \| Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) | 20.0% | $20.05 28.65 coins | 5.9% | 5 | 6.4 | 0.78× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=the-glider)

[FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-factory-new) Hidden $75.07 107 coins $125 178 coins 1.66x 2026-11-07 23:49 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-racing-green-battle-scarred) Hidden $75.07 107 coins $27.85 39.78 coins 0.37x 2026-11-07 23:49 UTC

[MP9 | Airlock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-airlock-factory-new) Hidden $75.07 107 coins $20.41 29.16 coins 0.27x 2026-11-07 23:49 UTC

[USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) [Yellow](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Yellow) $75.07 107 coins $95.90 137 coins 1.28x 2026-11-07 23:49 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $75.07 107 coins $109 155 coins 1.45x 2026-11-06 17:47 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-well-worn) Hidden $75.07 107 coins $23.31 33.3 coins 0.31x 2026-11-06 17:47 UTC

[FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-roll-cage-factory-new) Hidden $75.07 107 coins $125 178 coins 1.66x 2026-11-06 17:47 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Turbo Peek (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-turbo-peek-well-worn) [Monkeh™](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Monkeh%E2%84%A2) $75.07 107 coins $23.31 33.3 coins 0.31x 2026-11-06 17:47 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-blue-steel-minimal-wear) Hidden $75.07 107 coins $489 698 coins 6.51x 2026-11-06 13:12 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) Hidden $75.07 107 coins $109 155 coins 1.45x 2026-11-06 13:12 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $74.24 | 90.91% | 10 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $74.12 | 90.91% | 10 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $75.07 | 90.91% | 10 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 48.0% extraordinary 12.0% classified 40.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
