---
title: "The Gunslinger case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "The Gunslinger ($58.39) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 13 items with odds, observed 91.88% over 36 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-gunslinger
rendered: 2026-11-11T22:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [The Gunslinger](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-gunslinger)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · The Gunslinger

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-gunslinger?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-gunslinger?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-gunslinger) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-gunslinger?window=all)

Price · $58.39 · 83.42 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $53.09 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.88% · 36 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 38.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 90.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 6 openings · below min

7 days · 20 openings · below min

30 days · 36 openings · below min

since tracking started · 36 openings · below min

18.0% 101.0% 184.0%

**Small sample.** 36 openings and 13.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-gunslinger?window=24h) | 6 | 100.99% ±82.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-gunslinger?window=7d) | 20 | 81.64% ±45.2 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-gunslinger) | 36 | 91.88% ±33.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-gunslinger?window=all) | 36 | 91.88% ±33.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 36 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 20,000 | $4,365 6,235 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,842 4,060 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,241 1,773 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $360 514 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $283 404 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $200 286 coins | 3.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $197 281 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $148 211 coins | 8.3% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.78× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $94.50 135 coins | 7.1% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.69× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 20.8% | $52.35 74.78 coins | 20.5% | 7 | 7.5 | 0.93× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Wasteland Princess (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $45.21 64.58 coins | 6.8% | 4 | 2.9 | 1.39× |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-minimal-wear) | 50.0% | $42.50 60.72 coins | 40.0% | 18 | 18.0 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-factory-new) | 12.0% | $26.26 37.52 coins | 5.9% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.69× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=the-gunslinger)

[G3SG1 | The Executioner (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-minimal-wear) Hidden $58.39 83.42 coins $42.50 60.72 coins 0.73x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[G3SG1 | The Executioner (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-minimal-wear) Hidden $58.39 83.42 coins $42.50 60.72 coins 0.73x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[G3SG1 | The Executioner (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-minimal-wear) Hidden $58.39 83.42 coins $42.50 60.72 coins 0.73x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) Hidden $58.39 83.42 coins $148 211 coins 2.53x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[P250 | Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-factory-new) Hidden $58.39 83.42 coins $26.26 37.52 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[M4A4 | The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) [Lajjan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lajjan) $58.39 83.42 coins $52.35 74.78 coins 0.90x 2026-11-11 18:59 UTC

[P250 | Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-factory-new) [Veckans](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Veckans) $58.39 83.42 coins $26.26 37.52 coins 0.45x 2026-11-09 22:39 UTC

[G3SG1 | The Executioner (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-minimal-wear) [MOHAMMED](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/MOHAMMED) $58.39 83.42 coins $42.50 60.72 coins 0.73x 2026-11-09 22:39 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-factory-new) [na'thanx](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/na'thanx) $58.39 83.42 coins $45.21 64.58 coins 0.77x 2026-11-09 22:39 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-wasteland-princess-factory-new) [holyBUCK3T](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/holyBUCK3T) $58.39 83.42 coins $45.21 64.58 coins 0.77x 2026-11-09 22:39 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $58.39 | 90.91% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $58.78 | 90.91% | 13 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $58.44 | 90.91% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 0.0% legendary 0.0% classified 70.0% covert 29.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt