--- title: "The Juice case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "The Juice ($7.73) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 9 items with odds, observed 85.40% over 11.9K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-juice rendered: 2026-11-11T17:43Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [The Juice](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-juice) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · The Juice A case on CSGORoll (40%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-juice?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-juice?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-juice) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-juice?window=all) Price · $7.73 · 11.04 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $7.03 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.40% · 11.9K openings, odds method Variance · 16.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 22 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.79% ±20.59 1,497 openings 7 days · 85.67% ±8.25 9,548 openings 30 days · 85.40% ±7.41 11.9K openings since tracking started · 85.40% ±7.41 11.9K openings 67.5% 88.8% 110.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-juice?window=24h) | 1,497 | 88.79% ±20.6 | −0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-juice?window=7d) | 9,548 | 85.67% ±8.25 | −1.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-juice) | 11.9K | 85.40% ±7.41 | −1.5σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-juice?window=all) | 11.9K | 85.40% ±7.41 | −1.5σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 11.9K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $827 1,182 coins | 11.8% | 7 | 11.9 | 0.59× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Roll Cage (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-roll-cage-well-worn) | 1 in 22 | $86.10 123 coins | 55.1% | 528 | 535.2 | 0.99× | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $30.04 42.91 coins | 1.7% | 47 | 47.6 | 0.99× | | [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $7.27 10.39 coins | 10.4% | 1,159 | 1189.3 | 0.97× | | [FAMAS \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-pulse-field-tested) | 10.0% | $6.69 9.55 coins | 9.5% | 1,195 | 1189.3 | 1.00× | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) | 15.0% | $5.33 7.62 coins | 11.4% | 1,772 | 1784.0 | 0.99× | | [P250 \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.1% | 2,358 | 2378.6 | 0.99× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 2,491 | 2378.6 | 1.05× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 20.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 2,336 | 2378.6 | 0.98× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) Hidden $7.75 11.07 coins $855 1,222 coins 110.4x 2026-11-08 13:19 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) Hidden $7.75 11.07 coins $855 1,222 coins 110.4x 2026-11-06 22:32 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) Hidden $7.75 11.07 coins $855 1,222 coins 110.4x 2026-11-05 15:32 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) [User#562](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%23562) $7.75 11.07 coins $855 1,222 coins 110.4x 2026-11-04 22:22 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) Hidden $7.75 11.07 coins $855 1,222 coins 110.4x 2026-11-04 14:29 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) Hidden $7.73 11.04 coins $827 1,182 coins 107.1x 2026-11-10 21:28 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) [Fufakk9](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Fufakk9) $7.73 11.04 coins $827 1,182 coins 107.1x 2026-11-10 15:55 UTC [AK-47 | Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) Hidden $7.73 11.04 coins $827 1,182 coins 107.1x 2026-11-10 13:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=the-juice) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [User#89](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%2389) $7.73 11.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:32 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) Hidden $7.73 11.04 coins $5.33 7.62 coins 0.69x 2026-11-11 17:32 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $7.73 11.04 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:32 UTC [MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) Hidden $7.73 11.04 coins $7.27 10.39 coins 0.94x 2026-11-11 17:32 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $7.73 11.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:31 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) Hidden $7.73 11.04 coins $5.33 7.62 coins 0.69x 2026-11-11 17:31 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) Hidden $7.73 11.04 coins $5.33 7.62 coins 0.69x 2026-11-11 17:31 UTC [MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) [Queen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Queen) $7.73 11.04 coins $7.27 10.39 coins 0.94x 2026-11-11 17:31 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $7.73 11.04 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:30 UTC [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $7.73 11.04 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 17:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $7.73 | 90.92% | 9 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $7.73 | 90.90% | 9 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $7.71 | 90.93% | 9 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $7.75 | 90.88% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 10.1% covert 4.5% mil spec 0.4% restricted 25.0% consumer 60.0% best hit $855 (110.4x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt