--- title: "The Omega case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "The Omega ($44.88) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 10 items with odds, observed 86.27% over 1,024 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-omega rendered: 2026-11-11T18:20Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [The Omega](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-omega) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · The Omega A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-omega?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-omega?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-omega) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-omega?window=all) Price · $44.88 · 64.12 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $40.80 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 86.27% · 1,024 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 38.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 82.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 53 openings · below min 7 days · 84.68% ±7.01 618 openings 30 days · 86.27% ±5.45 1,024 openings since tracking started · 86.27% ±5.45 1,024 openings 54.0% 78.5% 103.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-omega?window=24h) | 53 | 78.34% ±23.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-omega?window=7d) | 618 | 84.68% ±7.01 | −1.8σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-omega) | 1,024 | 86.27% ±5.45 | −1.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-omega?window=all) | 1,024 | 86.27% ±5.45 | −1.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,024 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Eclipse (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-eclipse-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $421 602 coins | 7.2% | 3 | 7.2 | 0.42× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $134 192 coins | 1.0% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $109 155 coins | 13.3% | 48 | 51.2 | 0.94× | | [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $94.50 135 coins | 4.6% | 15 | 20.5 | 0.73× | | [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $52.27 74.67 coins | 12.8% | 102 | 102.4 | 1.00× | | [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $43.49 62.13 coins | 21.3% | 206 | 204.8 | 1.01× | | [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $43.41 62.02 coins | 10.6% | 104 | 102.4 | 1.02× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 12.0% | $36.40 52 coins | 10.7% | 122 | 122.9 | 0.99× | | [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $27.59 39.41 coins | 13.5% | 223 | 204.8 | 1.09× | | [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 20.0% | $9.92 14.17 coins | 4.9% | 198 | 204.8 | 0.97× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=the-omega) [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.88 64.12 coins $43.49 62.13 coins 0.97x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) Hidden $44.88 64.12 coins $9.92 14.17 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.88 64.12 coins $36.40 52 coins 0.81x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) Hidden $44.88 64.12 coins $43.49 62.13 coins 0.97x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) Hidden $44.88 64.12 coins $36.40 52 coins 0.81x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) [WhattheHUH](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/WhattheHUH) $44.88 64.12 coins $9.92 14.17 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 17:48 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) Hidden $44.88 64.12 coins $9.92 14.17 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) Hidden $44.88 64.12 coins $9.92 14.17 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) Hidden $44.88 64.12 coins $9.92 14.17 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC [M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) [Lajjan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lajjan) $44.88 64.12 coins $43.49 62.13 coins 0.97x 2026-11-11 16:40 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $44.88 | 90.91% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $45.75 | 90.91% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $45.98 | 90.91% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 1.0% classified 35.0% covert 64.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt