--- title: "The Press case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "The Press ($222.42) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 10 items with odds, observed 49.62% over 18 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-press rendered: 2026-11-11T13:29Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [The Press](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-press) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · The Press A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-press?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-press?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-press) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-press?window=all) Price · $222.42 · 318 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $202.21 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 49.62% · 18 openings, odds method Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 30.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 18 openings · below min 30 days · 18 openings · below min since tracking started · 18 openings · below min -0.5% 53.5% 107.5% **Small sample.** 18 openings and 5.5 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-press?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-press?window=7d) | 18 | 49.62% ±57.3 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-press) | 18 | 49.62% ±57.3 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-press?window=all) | 18 | 49.62% ±57.3 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 18 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) | 1 in 333 | $3,164 4,520 coins | 4.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 500 | $2,615 3,735 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 33 | $1,034 1,477 coins | 15.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $793 1,133 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Skeleton Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $320 457 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [G3SG1 \| Chronos (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-minimal-wear) | 25.0% | $266 380 coins | 32.9% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.11× | | [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 19.5% | $262 374 coins | 25.2% | 0 | 3.5 | 0.00× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $155 221 coins | 3.8% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 15.0% | $83.30 119 coins | 6.2% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× | | [FAMAS \| Djinn (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-factory-new) | 30.0% | $33.07 47.25 coins | 4.9% | 9 | 5.4 | 1.67× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=the-press) [G3SG1 | Chronos (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-minimal-wear) Hidden $223 318 coins $269 384 coins 1.21x 2026-11-05 19:10 UTC [FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-factory-new) Hidden $223 318 coins $26.46 37.8 coins 0.12x 2026-11-05 19:10 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $223 318 coins $82.60 118 coins 0.37x 2026-11-05 19:10 UTC [FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-factory-new) Hidden $223 318 coins $26.46 37.8 coins 0.12x 2026-11-05 19:10 UTC [AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $223 318 coins $82.60 118 coins 0.37x 2026-11-05 19:10 UTC [FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-factory-new) [🟢Kick: JULSY](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%9F%A2Kick%3A%20JULSY) $223 318 coins $26.46 37.8 coins 0.12x 2026-11-05 19:10 UTC [G3SG1 | Chronos (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-chronos-minimal-wear) Hidden $223 318 coins $269 384 coins 1.21x 2026-11-05 19:07 UTC [FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-factory-new) Hidden $223 318 coins $26.46 37.8 coins 0.12x 2026-11-05 19:07 UTC [FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-factory-new) Hidden $223 318 coins $26.46 37.8 coins 0.12x 2026-11-05 19:07 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) Hidden $223 318 coins $161 230 coins 0.72x 2026-11-05 19:07 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $222 | 90.91% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $220 | 90.91% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $223 | 90.91% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed high 0.3% covert 20.2% restricted 44.5% rare 5.0% classified 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt