--- title: "The Ramp case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "The Ramp ($6.93) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 10 items with odds, observed 90.01% over 9,802 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-ramp rendered: 2026-11-11T14:10Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [The Ramp](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-ramp) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · The Ramp A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-ramp?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-ramp?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-ramp) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-ramp?window=all) Price · $6.93 · 9.9 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $6.30 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.01% · 9,802 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 23.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 66.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 85.49% ±11.90 497 openings 7 days · 90.27% ±2.92 8,351 openings 30 days · 90.01% ±2.70 9,802 openings since tracking started · 90.01% ±2.70 9,802 openings 73.0% 85.5% 98.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-ramp?window=24h) | 497 | 85.49% ±11.9 | −0.9σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-ramp?window=7d) | 8,351 | 90.27% ±2.92 | −0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-ramp) | 9,802 | 90.01% ±2.70 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-ramp?window=all) | 9,802 | 90.01% ±2.70 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,808 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $104 149 coins | 1.7% | 4 | 9.8 | 0.41× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $63.41 90.59 coins | 2.0% | 19 | 19.6 | 0.97× | | [P250 \| Splash (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $38.54 55.06 coins | 5.5% | 73 | 88.3 | 0.83× | | [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $23.79 33.99 coins | 7.6% | 190 | 196.2 | 0.97× | | [MP9 \| Setting Sun (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-setting-sun-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $18.35 26.22 coins | 58.3% | 2,020 | 1961.6 | 1.03× | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 10.0% | $12.42 17.75 coins | 19.7% | 964 | 980.8 | 0.98× | | [P90 \| Schematic (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-schematic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $4.47 6.38 coins | 3.5% | 473 | 490.4 | 0.96× | | [SG 553 \| Desert Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-desert-blossom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $2.65 3.78 coins | 1.7% | 402 | 392.3 | 1.02× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 27.8% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 2,754 | 2726.6 | 1.01× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) | 30.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 2,909 | 2942.4 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=the-ramp) [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $6.93 9.9 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.93 9.9 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $6.93 9.9 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $6.93 9.9 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $6.93 9.9 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 1.79x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) [benny](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/benny) $6.93 9.9 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 1.79x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC [SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-desert-blossom-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.93 9.9 coins $2.65 3.78 coins 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) Hidden $6.93 9.9 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $6.93 9.9 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-battle-scarred) [benny](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/benny) $6.93 9.9 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $6.93 | 90.91% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $7.00 | 90.90% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $7.00 | 90.89% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 0.3% restricted 0.9% classified 12.0% mil spec 29.0% consumer 57.8% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt