--- title: "The Rush case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "The Rush ($60.00) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 11 items with odds, observed 78.70% over 10 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-rush rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [The Rush](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-rush) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · The Rush A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-rush?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-rush?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-rush) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-rush?window=all) Price · $60.00 · 85.71 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $54.54 from 11 items Observed RTP, 30d · 78.70% · 10 openings, odds method Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 26.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.5% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 6 openings · below min 30 days · 10 openings · below min since tracking started · 10 openings · below min -0.5% 80.8% 162.0% **Small sample.** 10 openings and 2.6 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-rush?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-rush?window=7d) | 6 | 69.83% ±91.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-rush) | 10 | 78.70% ±71.0 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-rush?window=all) | 10 | 78.70% ±71.0 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 11 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 10 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $356 508 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [P90 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) | 10.0% | $218 312 coins | 40.0% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× | | [PP-Bizon \| Modern Hunter (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-modern-hunter-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $183 261 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) | 15.0% | $102 146 coins | 28.1% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.33× | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $81.90 117 coins | 4.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $43.41 62.02 coins | 4.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [P90 \| Death Grip (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-factory-new) | 15.0% | $28.24 40.35 coins | 7.8% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× | | [P90 \| Glacier Mesh (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-glacier-mesh-factory-new) | 10.0% | $17.88 25.55 coins | 3.3% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [Tec-9 \| Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) | 10.5% | $13.04 18.63 coins | 2.5% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.90× | | [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) | 15.0% | $6.29 8.99 coins | 1.7% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) | 15.0% | $5.33 7.62 coins | 1.5% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.33× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=the-rush) [Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) Hidden $61.17 87.39 coins $5.74 8.2 coins 0.09x 2026-11-07 22:24 UTC [Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) Hidden $61.17 87.39 coins $5.74 8.2 coins 0.09x 2026-11-07 22:24 UTC [Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) [✪ Pandan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E2%9C%AA%20Pandan) $61.17 87.39 coins $5.74 8.2 coins 0.09x 2026-11-07 22:24 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Re-Entry (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-re-entry-factory-new) Hidden $61.17 87.39 coins $4.84 6.92 coins 0.08x 2026-11-07 22:24 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-factory-new) Hidden $61.17 87.39 coins $221 316 coins 3.62x 2026-11-07 22:24 UTC [Tec-9 | Isaac (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-isaac-factory-new) Hidden $61.17 87.39 coins $13.05 18.65 coins 0.21x 2026-11-07 22:24 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $60.00 | 90.91% | 11 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $60.63 | 90.91% | 11 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $61.17 | 90.91% | 11 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 45.5% covert 25.0% mil spec 21.5% classified 8.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt