---
title: "The Tomb case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "The Tomb ($143.41) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 9 items with odds, observed 94.14% over 228 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-tomb
rendered: 2026-11-12T09:00Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [The Tomb](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-tomb)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · The Tomb

A case on CSGORoll (70%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-tomb?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-tomb?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-tomb) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-tomb?window=all)

Price · $143.41 · 205 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $130.37 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.14% · 228 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 22.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 45.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 96.14% ±11.94 211 openings

30 days · 94.14% ±11.49 228 openings

since tracking started · 94.14% ±11.49 228 openings

13.0% 100.3% 187.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-tomb?window=24h) | 4 | 100.47% ±86.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-tomb?window=7d) | 211 | 96.14% ±11.9 | +0.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-tomb) | 228 | 94.14% ±11.5 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-tomb?window=all) | 228 | 94.14% ±11.5 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 228 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $517 738 coins | 4.0% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.75× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $433 619 coins | 1.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $384 549 coins | 14.7% | 11 | 11.4 | 0.96× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $305 436 coins | 11.7% | 8 | 11.4 | 0.70× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 10.5% | $234 335 coins | 18.9% | 27 | 23.9 | 1.13× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 33.0% | $188 268 coins | 47.5% | 82 | 75.2 | 1.09× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $13.55 19.35 coins | 1.6% | 24 | 34.2 | 0.70× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 15.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 31 | 34.2 | 0.91× |
| [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 15.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 41 | 34.2 | 1.20× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 12 Nov, 08:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-factory-new) Hidden $143 205 coins $517 738 coins 3.60x 2026-11-10 18:42 UTC

[★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-factory-new) [Cecil Tyler](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Cecil%20Tyler) $143 205 coins $517 738 coins 3.60x 2026-11-10 17:30 UTC

[★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-factory-new) [Cecil Tyler](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Cecil%20Tyler) $143 205 coins $517 738 coins 3.60x 2026-11-09 19:18 UTC

[★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-factory-new) Hidden $143 205 coins $517 738 coins 3.60x 2026-11-09 04:07 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=the-tomb)

[★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $143 205 coins $188 268 coins 1.31x 2026-11-11 21:50 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $143 205 coins $188 268 coins 1.31x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $143 205 coins $188 268 coins 1.31x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $143 205 coins $13.55 19.35 coins 0.09x 2026-11-11 13:10 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) Hidden $143 205 coins $234 335 coins 1.64x 2026-11-11 05:43 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Solatyre](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Solatyre) $143 205 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:52 UTC

[PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $143 205 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:42 UTC

[MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $143 205 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 18:42 UTC

[Souvenir AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) Hidden $143 205 coins $13.55 19.35 coins 0.09x 2026-11-10 18:42 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) [Cecil Tyler](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Cecil%20Tyler) $143 205 coins $234 335 coins 1.64x 2026-11-10 18:42 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $143 | 90.91% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $143 | 90.91% | 9 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $146 | 90.91% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 1.0% covert 54.0% restricted 15.0% consumer 30.0% best hit $517 (3.60x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
