--- title: "The Transporter case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "The Transporter ($9.25) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 9 items with odds, observed 91.24% over 17.4K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-transporter rendered: 2026-11-11T18:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [The Transporter](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-transporter) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · The Transporter A case on CSGORoll (10%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-transporter?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-transporter?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-transporter) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-transporter?window=all) Price · $9.25 · 13.22 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $8.41 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.24% · 17.4K openings, odds method Variance · 9.1× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 25 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 90.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 91.17% ±12.93 2,086 openings 7 days · 91.27% ±5.00 14.2K openings 30 days · 91.24% ±4.53 17.4K openings since tracking started · 91.24% ±4.53 17.4K openings 77.5% 91.3% 105.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-transporter?window=24h) | 2,086 | 91.17% ±12.9 | +0.0σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-transporter?window=7d) | 14.2K | 91.27% ±5.00 | +0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-transporter) | 17.4K | 91.24% ±4.53 | +0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/the-transporter?window=all) | 17.4K | 91.24% ±4.53 | +0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 17.4K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Classic Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $174 249 coins | 20.7% | 167 | 174.0 | 0.96× | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $113 162 coins | 13.5% | 186 | 174.0 | 1.07× | | [Desert Eagle \| Pilot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-pilot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $111 159 coins | 13.2% | 196 | 174.0 | 1.13× | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $109 155 coins | 12.9% | 174 | 174.0 | 1.00× | | [★ Survival Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $56.69 80.98 coins | 6.7% | 178 | 174.0 | 1.02× | | [Sawed-Off \| First Class (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-first-class-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $56.07 80.1 coins | 13.3% | 332 | 348.0 | 0.95× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $52.09 74.42 coins | 12.4% | 313 | 348.0 | 0.90× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $49.95 71.36 coins | 5.9% | 181 | 174.0 | 1.04× | | [UMP-45 \| Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gunsmoke-minimal-wear) | 90.0% | $0.12 0.17 coins | 1.3% | 15,673 | 15660.0 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=the-transporter) [UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gunsmoke-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.25 13.22 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC [UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gunsmoke-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.25 13.22 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC [UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gunsmoke-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.25 13.22 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC [UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gunsmoke-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.25 13.22 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC [UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gunsmoke-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.25 13.22 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC [UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gunsmoke-minimal-wear) [Eminescu](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Eminescu) $9.25 13.22 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:40 UTC [UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gunsmoke-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.25 13.22 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC [UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gunsmoke-minimal-wear) [you bastard >:(](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/you%20bastard%20%3E%3A%28) $9.25 13.22 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC [★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) Hidden $9.25 13.22 coins $56.69 80.98 coins 6.13x 2026-11-11 18:39 UTC [UMP-45 | Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-gunsmoke-minimal-wear) Hidden $9.25 13.22 coins $0.12 0.17 coins 0.01x 2026-11-11 18:38 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $9.25 | 90.90% | 9 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $9.25 | 90.90% | 9 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $9.30 | 90.93% | 9 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $9.52 | 90.92% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.0% restricted 1.0% classified 3.0% mil spec 2.0% extraordinary 1.0% industrial 90.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt