--- title: "Tiger Case case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Tiger Case ($31.05) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 10 items with odds, observed 85.23% over 752 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tiger-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Tiger Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tiger-case) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Tiger Case A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tiger-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tiger-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tiger-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tiger-case?window=all) Price · $31.05 · 44.36 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $28.23 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 85.23% · 752 openings, odds method Variance · 4.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 30 openings · below min 7 days · 75.65% ±17.97 576 openings 30 days · 85.23% ±15.75 752 openings since tracking started · 85.23% ±15.75 752 openings -0.5% 77.8% 156.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tiger-case?window=24h) | 30 | 77.32% ±77.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tiger-case?window=7d) | 576 | 75.65% ±18.0 | −1.7σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tiger-case) | 752 | 85.23% ±15.7 | −0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tiger-case?window=all) | 752 | 85.23% ±15.7 | −0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 788 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $937 1,339 coins | 6.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× | | [★ Karambit \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $784 1,120 coins | 5.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $617 881 coins | 4.4% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.27× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $142 203 coins | 5.0% | 8 | 7.9 | 1.02× | | [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) | 11.4% | $85.40 122 coins | 34.5% | 92 | 89.8 | 1.02× | | [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) | 12.0% | $63.09 90.13 coins | 26.8% | 92 | 94.6 | 0.97× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $57.81 82.58 coins | 4.1% | 16 | 15.8 | 1.02× | | [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 21.0% | $10.65 15.21 coins | 7.9% | 171 | 165.5 | 1.03× | | [M4A4 \| Jungle Tiger (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-well-worn) | 21.0% | $3.86 5.52 coins | 2.9% | 164 | 165.5 | 0.99× | | [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 31.0% | $2.00 2.86 coins | 2.2% | 242 | 244.3 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $31.51 45.02 coins $800 1,143 coins 25.39x 2026-11-03 01:00 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $31.51 45.02 coins $622 889 coins 19.75x 2026-11-04 07:41 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [d0pri](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/d0pri) $31.51 45.02 coins $622 889 coins 19.75x 2026-11-03 13:39 UTC [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $31.51 45.02 coins $622 889 coins 19.75x 2026-11-02 21:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=tiger-case) [M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-well-worn) [fast csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/fast%20csgoroll.com) $31.05 44.36 coins $3.86 5.52 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 05:57 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $31.05 44.36 coins $2.00 2.86 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 05:57 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $31.05 44.36 coins $2.00 2.86 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 05:57 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $31.05 44.36 coins $2.00 2.86 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 05:57 UTC [M4A4 | Jungle Tiger (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-jungle-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $31.05 44.36 coins $85.40 122 coins 2.75x 2026-11-11 05:57 UTC [AUG | Bengal Tiger (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $31.05 44.36 coins $63.09 90.13 coins 2.03x 2026-11-11 05:57 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $31.05 44.36 coins $2.00 2.86 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 05:41 UTC [USP-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $31.05 44.36 coins $2.00 2.86 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 05:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) Hidden $31.05 44.36 coins $10.65 15.21 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 05:41 UTC [M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) [✪ Gytis ✪](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%E2%9C%AA%20Gytis%20%E2%9C%AA) $31.05 44.36 coins $10.65 15.21 coins 0.34x 2026-11-11 05:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 20:20 UTC | $31.05 | 90.90% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $31.05 | 90.91% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $31.31 | 90.92% | 10 | | 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $31.51 | 90.90% | 10 | | 4 Nov, 22:33 UTC | $31.52 | 90.91% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $31.51 | 90.92% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.6% industrial 32.4% classified 12.0% mil spec 21.0% Rare 31.0% best hit $800 (25.39x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt