--- title: "Timemachine case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Timemachine ($83.03) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 10 items with odds, observed 81.23% over 1,783 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/timemachine rendered: 2026-11-11T13:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Timemachine](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/timemachine) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Timemachine A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/timemachine?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/timemachine?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/timemachine) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/timemachine?window=all) Price · $83.03 · 119 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $75.49 from 10 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.23% · 1,783 openings, odds method Variance · 8.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 25.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 55.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 64.04% ±45.17 159 openings 7 days · 78.77% ±15.06 1,433 openings 30 days · 81.23% ±13.50 1,783 openings since tracking started · 81.23% ±13.50 1,783 openings 18.0% 64.0% 110.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/timemachine?window=24h) | 159 | 64.04% ±45.2 | −1.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/timemachine?window=7d) | 1,433 | 78.77% ±15.1 | −1.6σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/timemachine) | 1,783 | 81.23% ±13.5 | −1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/timemachine?window=all) | 1,783 | 81.23% ±13.5 | −1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 10 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,783 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 333 | $3,815 5,450 coins | 15.2% | 2 | 5.3 | 0.37× | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $2,069 2,955 coins | 5.5% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.84× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $1,142 1,632 coins | 7.6% | 8 | 8.9 | 0.90× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $223 318 coins | 4.4% | 24 | 26.7 | 0.90× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $148 211 coins | 5.9% | 51 | 53.5 | 0.95× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $126 180 coins | 8.3% | 108 | 89.2 | 1.21× | | [Tec-9 \| Terrace (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-terrace-factory-new) | 15.0% | $96.60 138 coins | 19.2% | 262 | 267.4 | 0.98× | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 19.5% | $85.40 122 coins | 22.1% | 345 | 347.7 | 0.99× | | [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-well-worn) | 25.0% | $21.01 30.01 coins | 7.0% | 444 | 445.8 | 1.00× | | [P2000 \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) | 30.0% | $12.42 17.75 coins | 4.9% | 536 | 534.9 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $86.15 123 coins $3,969 5,670 coins 46.07x 2026-11-03 04:42 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) Hidden $83.03 119 coins $3,815 5,450 coins 45.95x 2026-11-10 00:43 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $86.13 123 coins $2,076 2,965 coins 24.10x 2026-11-06 13:33 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) Hidden $86.23 123 coins $2,076 2,965 coins 24.07x 2026-11-03 14:57 UTC [AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [T1NT1N](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/T1NT1N) $83.03 119 coins $2,069 2,955 coins 24.91x 2026-11-09 19:33 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-well-worn) Hidden $86.13 123 coins $1,224 1,748 coins 14.21x 2026-11-07 12:23 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-well-worn) [stickan74](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/stickan74) $86.13 123 coins $1,224 1,748 coins 14.21x 2026-11-07 03:38 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-well-worn) Hidden $86.23 123 coins $1,224 1,748 coins 14.19x 2026-11-05 18:37 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-well-worn) Hidden $86.23 123 coins $1,224 1,748 coins 14.19x 2026-11-05 18:00 UTC [★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-well-worn) Hidden $86.23 123 coins $1,224 1,748 coins 14.19x 2026-11-04 13:32 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=timemachine) [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) Hidden $83.03 119 coins $85.40 122 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC [AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) Hidden $83.03 119 coins $85.40 122 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC [AWP | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $83.03 119 coins $21.01 30.01 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:37 UTC [P2000 | Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) Hidden $83.03 119 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 12:33 UTC [P2000 | Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) Hidden $83.03 119 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 12:31 UTC [AWP | Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-well-worn) Hidden $83.03 119 coins $21.01 30.01 coins 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC [P2000 | Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) Hidden $83.03 119 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC [P2000 | Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) Hidden $83.03 119 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:32 UTC [P2000 | Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) Hidden $83.03 119 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:29 UTC [P2000 | Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-corticera-field-tested) Hidden $83.03 119 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:28 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $83.03 | 90.91% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $83.04 | 90.91% | 10 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $83.13 | 90.91% | 10 | | 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $86.13 | 90.91% | 10 | | 3 Nov, 07:26 UTC | $86.23 | 90.91% | 10 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $86.15 | 90.91% | 10 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 28.0% extraordinary 2.0% mil spec 15.0% restricted 25.0% classified 30.0% best hit $3,969 (46.07x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt