--- title: "Tomb Raider case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Tomb Raider ($142.20) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 9 items with odds, observed 90.88% over 283 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tomb-raider rendered: 2026-11-11T20:59Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Tomb Raider](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tomb-raider) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Tomb Raider A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tomb-raider?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tomb-raider?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tomb-raider) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tomb-raider?window=all) Price · $142.20 · 203 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $129.28 from 9 items Observed RTP, 30d · 90.88% · 283 openings, odds method Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 31.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 74.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 58 openings · below min 7 days · 89.98% ±7.05 232 openings 30 days · 90.88% ±6.34 283 openings since tracking started · 90.88% ±6.34 283 openings 82.5% 98.5% 114.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tomb-raider?window=24h) | 58 | 99.15% ±14.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tomb-raider?window=7d) | 232 | 89.98% ±7.05 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tomb-raider) | 283 | 90.88% ±6.34 | −0.0σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tomb-raider?window=all) | 283 | 90.88% ±6.34 | −0.0σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 283 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $404 577 coins | 3.1% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× | | [AWP \| Snake Camo (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-snake-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $366 523 coins | 14.2% | 14 | 14.2 | 0.99× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) | 10.0% | $207 296 coins | 16.0% | 37 | 28.3 | 1.31× | | [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 10.0% | $197 281 coins | 15.2% | 27 | 28.3 | 0.95× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $121 173 coins | 4.7% | 10 | 14.2 | 0.71× | | [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-factory-new) | 16.0% | $110 157 coins | 13.6% | 41 | 45.3 | 0.91× | | [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-battle-scarred) | 33.0% | $103 147 coins | 26.3% | 88 | 93.4 | 0.94× | | [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $79.80 114 coins | 6.2% | 32 | 28.3 | 1.13× | | [MAC-10 \| Curse (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-curse-factory-new) | 10.0% | $9.67 13.82 coins | 0.7% | 32 | 28.3 | 1.13× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=tomb-raider) [★ Gut Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-factory-new) Hidden $142 203 coins $121 173 coins 0.85x 2026-11-11 20:34 UTC [Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-battle-scarred) [BiO-HaZarD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BiO-HaZarD) $142 203 coins $103 147 coins 0.72x 2026-11-11 20:32 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $142 203 coins $197 281 coins 1.38x 2026-11-11 20:32 UTC [★ Gut Knife | Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-factory-new) [Twilight](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Twilight) $142 203 coins $121 173 coins 0.85x 2026-11-11 20:32 UTC [M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-factory-new) Hidden $142 203 coins $207 296 coins 1.46x 2026-11-11 20:30 UTC [Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-battle-scarred) Hidden $142 203 coins $103 147 coins 0.72x 2026-11-11 20:29 UTC [PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-factory-new) Hidden $142 203 coins $110 157 coins 0.77x 2026-11-11 20:28 UTC [Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-battle-scarred) Hidden $142 203 coins $103 147 coins 0.72x 2026-11-11 20:28 UTC [Galil AR | Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-battle-scarred) Hidden $142 203 coins $103 147 coins 0.72x 2026-11-11 20:27 UTC [M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) Hidden $142 203 coins $197 281 coins 1.38x 2026-11-11 20:26 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $142 | 90.91% | 9 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $142 | 90.91% | 9 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $140 | 90.91% | 9 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed restricted 11.0% mil spec 5.0% covert 84.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt