---
title: "TOO EZ case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "TOO EZ ($102.73) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 17 items with odds, observed 89.88% over 37 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/too-ez
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:25Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [TOO EZ](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/too-ez)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · TOO EZ

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/too-ez?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/too-ez?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/too-ez) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/too-ez?window=all)

Price · $102.73 · 147 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $93.39 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.88% · 37 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 79.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 33 openings · below min

30 days · 37 openings · below min

since tracking started · 37 openings · below min

30.5% 93.0% 155.5%

**Small sample.** 37 openings and 5.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/too-ez?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/too-ez?window=7d) | 33 | 92.91% ±61.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/too-ez) | 37 | 89.88% ±58.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/too-ez?window=all) | 37 | 89.88% ±58.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 37 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Spearmint (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-spearmint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $2,426 3,465 coins | 13.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $452 646 coins | 14.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 50 | $253 362 coins | 5.4% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $239 341 coins | 5.1% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $179 256 coins | 13.4% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× |
| [Sticker \| SIXER (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sixer-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 33 | $160 228 coins | 5.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $109 155 coins | 3.5% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.80× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $84.00 120 coins | 5.4% | 7 | 2.2 | 3.15× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $83.30 119 coins | 2.7% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $82.60 118 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $63.18 90.26 coins | 4.1% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Giraffe (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-giraffe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $58.07 82.95 coins | 1.9% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $52.24 74.63 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 15.0% | $51.07 72.95 coins | 8.2% | 9 | 5.5 | 1.62× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $47.74 68.2 coins | 3.6% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 17.5% | $26.59 37.98 coins | 5.0% | 5 | 6.5 | 0.77× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $26.52 37.88 coins | 4.3% | 2 | 5.5 | 0.36× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=too-ez)

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) Hidden $103 147 coins $51.07 72.95 coins 0.50x 2026-11-10 06:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) Hidden $103 147 coins $51.07 72.95 coins 0.50x 2026-11-10 06:15 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-minimal-wear) [Zaph](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Zaph) $103 147 coins $26.52 37.88 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 06:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) Hidden $103 147 coins $51.07 72.95 coins 0.50x 2026-11-10 06:15 UTC

[AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) Hidden $103 147 coins $26.59 37.98 coins 0.26x 2026-11-10 06:15 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) [Zaph](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Zaph) $103 147 coins $84.00 120 coins 0.82x 2026-11-10 06:15 UTC

[M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) Hidden $104 148 coins $180 257 coins 1.74x 2026-11-06 22:31 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $104 148 coins $113 162 coins 1.10x 2026-11-06 22:31 UTC

[AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) Hidden $104 148 coins $26.81 38.3 coins 0.26x 2026-11-06 22:31 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-field-tested) [Jaws](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jaws) $104 148 coins $452 646 coins 4.37x 2026-11-06 22:31 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $103 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $103 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $104 | 90.91% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 23.5% restricted 3.0% covert 26.0% classified 32.5% mil spec 15.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
