---
title: "Tormented case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Tormented ($3.83) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.87% from 14 items with odds, observed 88.84% over 12K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tormented
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Tormented](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tormented)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Tormented

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tormented?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tormented?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tormented) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tormented?window=all)

Price · $3.83 · 5.47 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.87% · EV $3.48 from 14 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 88.84% · 12K openings, odds method

Variance · 5.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 13 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 84.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 85.82% ±11.61 1,411 openings

7 days · 90.18% ±4.39 9,942 openings

30 days · 88.84% ±3.99 12K openings

since tracking started · 88.84% ±3.99 12K openings

73.5% 85.8% 98.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tormented?window=24h) | 1,411 | 85.82% ±11.6 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tormented?window=7d) | 9,942 | 90.18% ±4.39 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tormented) | 12K | 88.84% ±3.99 | −1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tormented?window=all) | 12K | 88.84% ±3.99 | −1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Souvenir MP9 \| Hot Rod (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mp9-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $175 250 coins | 2.5% | 7 | 6.0 | 1.16× |
| [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Cologne 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-cologne-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $81.90 117 coins | 2.4% | 9 | 12.0 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 250 | $60.72 86.75 coins | 7.0% | 40 | 48.1 | 0.83× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $59.60 85.14 coins | 5.1% | 39 | 36.1 | 1.08× |
| [Sticker \| Titan \| Cologne 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-cologne-2014) | 1 in 200 | $56.66 80.94 coins | 8.1% | 49 | 60.2 | 0.81× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $30.11 43.02 coins | 8.7% | 120 | 120.4 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $18.43 26.33 coins | 7.9% | 182 | 180.5 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $9.53 13.62 coins | 11.0% | 492 | 481.4 | 1.02× |
| [Souvenir USP-S \| Check Engine (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-check-engine-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $4.00 5.71 coins | 9.2% | 959 | 962.8 | 1.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $2.67 3.82 coins | 1.9% | 291 | 300.9 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Signal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) | 21.6% | $1.83 2.61 coins | 11.4% | 2,544 | 2605.6 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) | 20.0% | $1.71 2.44 coins | 9.8% | 2,480 | 2407.0 | 1.03× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.34 1.91 coins | 7.7% | 2,485 | 2407.0 | 1.03× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Tosai (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-factory-new) | 20.0% | $1.27 1.82 coins | 7.3% | 2,338 | 2407.0 | 0.97× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=tormented)

[Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-factory-new) Hidden $3.83 5.47 coins $1.27 1.82 coins 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.83 5.47 coins $1.83 2.61 coins 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-factory-new) Hidden $3.83 5.47 coins $1.27 1.82 coins 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-factory-new) Hidden $3.83 5.47 coins $2.67 3.82 coins 0.70x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-factory-new) Hidden $3.83 5.47 coins $1.34 1.91 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-tosai-factory-new) [si^b^rO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/si%5Eb%5ErO) $3.83 5.47 coins $1.27 1.82 coins 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) Hidden $3.83 5.47 coins $1.71 2.44 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 13:21 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.83 5.47 coins $1.83 2.61 coins 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-ruby-poison-dart-field-tested) [invisibility](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/invisibility) $3.83 5.47 coins $1.71 2.44 coins 0.45x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) Hidden $3.83 5.47 coins $1.83 2.61 coins 0.48x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $3.83 | 90.87% | 14 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $3.85 | 90.91% | 14 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.86 | 90.87% | 14 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed mil spec 8.1% high 0.6% covert 0.7% restricted 45.1% classified 5.5% uncommon 20.0% Mythical 20.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.87 on average: an expected loss of $9.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt