---
title: "Tunes case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Tunes ($12.47) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 12 items with odds, observed 89.96% over 1,720 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tunes
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Tunes](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tunes)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Tunes

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tunes?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tunes?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tunes) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tunes?window=all)

Price · $12.47 · 17.82 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $11.34 from 12 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.96% · 1,720 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 95.56% ±13.44 213 openings

7 days · 90.69% ±5.76 1,265 openings

30 days · 89.96% ±4.96 1,720 openings

since tracking started · 89.96% ±4.96 1,720 openings

81.5% 95.5% 109.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tunes?window=24h) | 213 | 95.56% ±13.4 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tunes?window=7d) | 1,265 | 90.69% ±5.76 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tunes) | 1,720 | 89.96% ±4.96 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/tunes?window=all) | 1,720 | 89.96% ±4.96 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,720 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $77.00 110 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) | 10.0% | $42.60 60.85 coins | 37.6% | 174 | 172.0 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $29.41 42.02 coins | 2.6% | 17 | 17.2 | 0.99× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $26.08 37.25 coins | 11.5% | 81 | 86.0 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $15.03 21.47 coins | 9.3% | 118 | 120.4 | 0.98× |
| [MP7 \| Orange Peel (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-orange-peel-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $12.21 17.45 coins | 10.8% | 173 | 172.0 | 1.01× |
| [M249 \| Blizzard Marbleized (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $12.09 17.27 coins | 8.5% | 141 | 137.6 | 1.02× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $9.02 12.89 coins | 5.6% | 127 | 120.4 | 1.05× |
| [MP9 \| Rose Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-field-tested) | 10.0% | $5.15 7.35 coins | 4.5% | 166 | 172.0 | 0.97× |
| [P250 \| Inferno (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-factory-new) | 14.9% | $4.31 6.16 coins | 5.7% | 248 | 256.3 | 0.97× |
| [MAG-7 \| Memento (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-memento-field-tested) | 12.0% | $2.62 3.74 coins | 2.8% | 212 | 206.4 | 1.03× |
| [XM1014 \| Blue Steel (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-blue-steel-factory-new) | 15.0% | $0.43 0.61 coins | 0.6% | 263 | 258.0 | 1.02× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=tunes)

[MAG-7 | Memento (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-memento-field-tested) Hidden $12.47 17.82 coins $2.62 3.74 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC

[MP9 | Rose Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-field-tested) [Dab](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Dab) $12.47 17.82 coins $5.15 7.35 coins 0.41x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Emerald (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-emerald-factory-new) Hidden $12.47 17.82 coins $26.08 37.25 coins 2.09x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC

[M249 | Blizzard Marbleized (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-blizzard-marbleized-battle-scarred) Hidden $12.47 17.82 coins $12.09 17.27 coins 0.97x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC

[P250 | Inferno (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-factory-new) Hidden $12.47 17.82 coins $4.31 6.16 coins 0.35x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC

[MAG-7 | Memento (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-memento-field-tested) Hidden $12.47 17.82 coins $2.62 3.74 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC

[MP7 | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-orange-peel-minimal-wear) Hidden $12.47 17.82 coins $12.21 17.45 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC

[MP7 | Orange Peel (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-orange-peel-minimal-wear) [Dab](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Dab) $12.47 17.82 coins $12.21 17.45 coins 0.98x 2026-11-11 14:03 UTC

[MAG-7 | Memento (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-memento-field-tested) Hidden $12.47 17.82 coins $2.62 3.74 coins 0.21x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC

[MP9 | Rose Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-field-tested) [Terroristi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Terroristi) $12.47 17.82 coins $5.15 7.35 coins 0.41x 2026-11-11 12:03 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | $12.47 | 90.92% | 12 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $12.46 | 90.92% | 12 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $13.55 | 90.90% | 12 |
| 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $13.57 | 90.90% | 12 |
| 4 Nov, 22:33 UTC | $13.66 | 90.89% | 12 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $13.64 | 90.90% | 12 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 7.1% restricted 47.9% industrial 33.0% mil spec 12.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt