--- title: "Undead case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Undead ($84.86) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 12 items with odds, observed 81.28% over 20 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/undead rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Undead](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/undead) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Undead A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/undead?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/undead?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/undead) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/undead?window=all) Price · $84.86 · 121 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $77.15 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 81.28% · 20 openings, odds method Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 17.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 66.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 20 openings · below min 30 days · 20 openings · below min since tracking started · 20 openings · below min 22.0% 81.3% 140.5% **Small sample.** 20 openings and 3.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/undead?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/undead?window=7d) | 20 | 81.28% ±58.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/undead) | 20 | 81.28% ±58.8 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/undead?window=all) | 20 | 81.28% ±58.8 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $827 1,182 coins | 16.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $200 286 coins | 20.8% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× | | [★ Bayonet knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet) | 1 in 67 | $194 277 coins | 3.8% | 2 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 33 | $186 265 coins | 7.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $155 221 coins | 6.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $120 171 coins | 9.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× | | [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $102 145 coins | 6.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 1.00× | | [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $86.10 123 coins | 6.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $83.30 119 coins | 5.4% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× | | [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $83.30 119 coins | 8.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 27.0% | $15.42 22.03 coins | 5.4% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.93× | | [M4A4 \| Dark Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-minimal-wear) | 26.0% | $12.26 17.52 coins | 4.1% | 7 | 5.2 | 1.35× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=undead) [StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) Hidden $84.86 121 coins $15.42 22.03 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 01:03 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) Hidden $84.86 121 coins $15.42 22.03 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 01:03 UTC [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) Hidden $84.86 121 coins $200 286 coins 2.36x 2026-11-10 01:03 UTC [MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-factory-new) [karma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/karma) $84.86 121 coins $86.10 123 coins 1.01x 2026-11-10 01:03 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-minimal-wear) Hidden $84.86 121 coins $12.26 17.52 coins 0.14x 2026-11-10 01:01 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) Hidden $84.86 121 coins $15.42 22.03 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 01:01 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-minimal-wear) Hidden $84.86 121 coins $12.26 17.52 coins 0.14x 2026-11-10 01:01 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-minimal-wear) [karma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/karma) $84.86 121 coins $12.26 17.52 coins 0.14x 2026-11-10 01:01 UTC [M4A4 | Dark Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-blossom-minimal-wear) Hidden $83.46 119 coins $12.81 18.3 coins 0.15x 2026-11-06 11:42 UTC [M4A4 | Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) Hidden $83.46 119 coins $165 235 coins 1.97x 2026-11-06 11:42 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $84.86 | 90.91% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $85.37 | 90.91% | 12 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $83.46 | 90.91% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 1.5% covert 39.5% restricted 33.0% industrial 26.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt