--- title: "Underworld case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Underworld ($1,504.17) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 21 items with odds, observed 42.41% over 13 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/underworld rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Underworld](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/underworld) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Underworld A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/underworld?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/underworld?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/underworld) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/underworld?window=all) Price · $1,504.17 · 2,149 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $1,367.43 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 42.41% · 13 openings, odds method Variance · 4.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 14 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 85.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 13 openings · below min 30 days · 13 openings · below min since tracking started · 13 openings · below min -0.5% 75.5% 151.5% **Small sample.** 13 openings and 0.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/underworld?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/underworld?window=7d) | 13 | 42.41% ±108.5 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/underworld) | 13 | 42.41% ±108.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/underworld?window=all) | 13 | 42.41% ±108.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 13 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Hedge Maze (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-hedge-maze-factory-new) | 1 in 250 | $30.1K 42,950 coins | 8.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 333 | $27.5K 39,250 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-factory-new) | 1 in 154 | $10.7K 15,300 coins | 5.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [Sticker \| Natus Vincere (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 143 | $10.3K 14,660 coins | 5.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 50 | $8,869 12,670 coins | 13.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 125 | $7,028 10,040 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $6,787 9,695 coins | 5.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 200 | $6,657 9,510 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 182 | $5,978 8,540 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-factory-new) | 1 in 133 | $2,037 2,910 coins | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2,033 2,905 coins | 4.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $1,655 2,364 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $1,369 1,955 coins | 5.0% | 2 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $1,314 1,877 coins | 6.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $1,299 1,856 coins | 6.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [Souvenir AWP \| Desert Hydra (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-desert-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1,295 1,850 coins | 3.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 13 | $523 747 coins | 3.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.96× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-factory-new) | 10.0% | $502 717 coins | 3.7% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) | 12.0% | $414 591 coins | 3.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× | | [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 14.0% | $253 362 coins | 2.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) | 19.4% | $246 352 coins | 3.5% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.59× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $1,511 2,159 coins $1,396 1,994 coins 0.92x 2026-11-04 21:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $1,511 2,159 coins $1,396 1,994 coins 0.92x 2026-11-04 21:53 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,511 2,159 coins $1,314 1,877 coins 0.87x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $1,511 2,159 coins $1,310 1,871 coins 0.87x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) Hidden $1,511 2,159 coins $524 749 coins 0.35x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC [★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-factory-new) Hidden $1,511 2,159 coins $503 719 coins 0.33x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=underworld) [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $1,504 2,149 coins $246 352 coins 0.16x 2026-11-09 02:14 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) Hidden $1,511 2,159 coins $1,396 1,994 coins 0.92x 2026-11-04 21:53 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $1,511 2,159 coins $266 380 coins 0.18x 2026-11-04 21:53 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $1,511 2,159 coins $225 321 coins 0.15x 2026-11-04 21:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Welcome to the Jungle (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-welcome-to-the-jungle-factory-new) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $1,511 2,159 coins $1,396 1,994 coins 0.92x 2026-11-04 21:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Imminent Danger (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-factory-new) Hidden $1,511 2,159 coins $1,310 1,871 coins 0.87x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-1) Hidden $1,511 2,159 coins $225 321 coins 0.15x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC [★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $1,511 2,159 coins $1,314 1,877 coins 0.87x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC [★ M9 Bayonet | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-field-tested) [tashud](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/tashud) $1,511 2,159 coins $434 620 coins 0.29x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC [★ Ursus Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $1,511 2,159 coins $266 380 coins 0.18x 2026-11-04 21:52 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $1,504 | 90.91% | 21 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $1,511 | 90.91% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 4.0% legendary 23.1% remarkable 0.7% covert 72.2% best hit $1,396 (0.92x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt