--- title: "Unholy case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Unholy ($6.09) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.87% from 16 items with odds, observed 91.91% over 8,115 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/unholy rendered: 2026-11-11T17:19Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Unholy](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/unholy) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Unholy A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/unholy?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/unholy?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/unholy) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/unholy?window=all) Price · $6.09 · 8.7 coins Advertised RTP · 90.87% · EV $5.53 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.91% · 8,115 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.9% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 73.6% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 98.95% ±9.56 831 openings 7 days · 90.86% ±3.52 6,149 openings 30 days · 91.91% ±3.06 8,115 openings since tracking started · 91.91% ±3.06 8,115 openings 86.5% 97.8% 109.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/unholy?window=24h) | 831 | 98.95% ±9.56 | +1.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/unholy?window=7d) | 6,149 | 90.86% ±3.52 | −0.0σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/unholy) | 8,115 | 91.91% ±3.06 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/unholy?window=all) | 8,115 | 91.91% ±3.06 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,128 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| GuardiaN (Gold) \| London 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-guardian-gold-london-2018) | 1 in 5,000 | $186 265 coins | 0.7% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.85× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $56.55 80.78 coins | 0.3% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.41× | | [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $43.90 62.72 coins | 7.9% | 81 | 81.3 | 1.00× | | [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $30.51 43.58 coins | 27.6% | 412 | 406.4 | 1.01× | | [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $28.64 40.92 coins | 1.3% | 30 | 20.3 | 1.48× | | [SSG 08 \| Detour (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-detour-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $22.04 31.48 coins | 0.4% | 8 | 8.1 | 0.98× | | [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $13.02 18.6 coins | 7.1% | 220 | 243.8 | 0.90× | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $12.42 17.75 coins | 3.4% | 118 | 121.9 | 0.97× | | [USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $11.75 16.78 coins | 8.5% | 302 | 325.1 | 0.93× | | [Nova \| Bloomstick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $9.88 14.12 coins | 8.9% | 403 | 406.4 | 0.99× | | [Five-SeveN \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $9.09 12.99 coins | 9.9% | 514 | 487.7 | 1.05× | | [AWP \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $9.07 12.96 coins | 0.8% | 40 | 40.6 | 0.98× | | [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) | 17.6% | $4.07 5.81 coins | 12.9% | 1,490 | 1430.5 | 1.04× | | [Sawed-Off \| Serenity (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-serenity-factory-new) | 16.0% | $3.26 4.65 coins | 9.4% | 1,327 | 1300.5 | 1.02× | | [MAG-7 \| Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-storm-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.24 0.35 coins | 0.9% | 1,567 | 1625.6 | 0.96× | | [Five-SeveN \| Orange Peel (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-orange-peel-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.1% | 1,612 | 1625.6 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=unholy) [MAG-7 | Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-storm-field-tested) [sakalaka bum bum](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/sakalaka%20bum%20bum) $6.09 8.7 coins $0.24 0.35 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:06 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $6.09 8.7 coins $4.07 5.81 coins 0.67x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC [MAG-7 | Storm (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-storm-field-tested) Hidden $6.09 8.7 coins $0.24 0.35 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 17:01 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $6.09 8.7 coins $4.07 5.81 coins 0.67x 2026-11-11 16:50 UTC [Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-serenity-factory-new) [User#89](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%2389) $6.09 8.7 coins $3.26 4.65 coins 0.53x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $6.09 8.7 coins $4.07 5.81 coins 0.67x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $6.09 8.7 coins $4.07 5.81 coins 0.67x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC [P90 | Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-minimal-wear) Hidden $6.09 8.7 coins $30.51 43.58 coins 5.01x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC [SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-field-tested) Hidden $6.09 8.7 coins $4.07 5.81 coins 0.67x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC [Nova | Bloomstick (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-bloomstick-battle-scarred) [User#89](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%2389) $6.09 8.7 coins $9.88 14.12 coins 1.62x 2026-11-11 16:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $6.09 | 90.87% | 16 | | 3 Nov, 22:41 UTC | $6.13 | 90.95% | 16 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $6.14 | 90.89% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.0% restricted 25.3% classified 30.6% mil spec 4.1% consumer 20.0% industrial 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.87 on average: an expected loss of $9.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt