--- title: "Vegetable case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vegetable ($40.57) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 15 items with odds, observed 75.68% over 171 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vegetable rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Vegetable](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vegetable) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Vegetable A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vegetable?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vegetable?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vegetable) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vegetable?window=all) Price · $40.57 · 57.95 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $36.88 from 15 items Observed RTP, 30d · 75.68% · 171 openings, odds method Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 20.6% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 18 openings · below min 7 days · 76.74% ±21.95 158 openings 30 days · 75.68% ±21.09 171 openings since tracking started · 75.68% ±21.09 171 openings -0.5% 60.5% 121.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vegetable?window=24h) | 18 | 56.37% ±64.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vegetable?window=7d) | 158 | 76.74% ±21.9 | −1.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vegetable) | 171 | 75.68% ±21.1 | −1.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vegetable?window=all) | 171 | 75.68% ±21.1 | −1.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 15 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 171 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| The Prince (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-prince-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,333 | $1,809 2,585 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,472 2,103 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 5,000 | $1,282 1,832 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-forest-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $620 886 coins | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $202 289 coins | 2.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $127 182 coins | 6.9% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.29× | | [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $113 161 coins | 30.6% | 16 | 17.1 | 0.94× | | [UMP-45 \| Minotaur's Labyrinth (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $78.40 112 coins | 17.0% | 10 | 13.7 | 0.73× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $61.62 88.03 coins | 5.0% | 7 | 5.1 | 1.36× | | [★ Gut Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife) | 1 in 20 | $54.89 78.42 coins | 7.4% | 9 | 8.6 | 1.05× | | [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 11.4% | $45.13 64.47 coins | 13.9% | 12 | 19.5 | 0.62× | | [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 12.0% | $23.30 33.28 coins | 7.6% | 20 | 20.5 | 0.97× | | [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 15.0% | $4.84 6.91 coins | 2.0% | 35 | 25.6 | 1.36× | | [AUG \| Torque (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-well-worn) | 16.0% | $4.40 6.28 coins | 1.9% | 26 | 27.4 | 0.95× | | [Sawed-Off \| Mosaico (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-mosaico-battle-scarred) | 17.0% | $3.29 4.7 coins | 1.5% | 34 | 29.1 | 1.17× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=vegetable) [M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) [User#878](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%23878) $40.57 57.95 coins $4.84 6.91 coins 0.12x 2026-11-10 18:00 UTC [M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $40.57 57.95 coins $4.84 6.91 coins 0.12x 2026-11-10 18:00 UTC [M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $40.57 57.95 coins $4.84 6.91 coins 0.12x 2026-11-10 18:00 UTC [Sawed-Off | Mosaico (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-mosaico-battle-scarred) Hidden $40.57 57.95 coins $3.29 4.7 coins 0.08x 2026-11-10 18:00 UTC [★ Gut Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife) Hidden $40.57 57.95 coins $54.89 78.42 coins 1.35x 2026-11-10 18:00 UTC [★ Gut Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife) Hidden $40.57 57.95 coins $54.89 78.42 coins 1.35x 2026-11-10 18:00 UTC [M4A1-S | Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) Hidden $40.57 57.95 coins $4.84 6.91 coins 0.12x 2026-11-10 17:55 UTC [AUG | Torque (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-well-worn) Hidden $40.57 57.95 coins $4.40 6.28 coins 0.11x 2026-11-10 17:55 UTC [Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) [User#878](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/User%23878) $40.57 57.95 coins $23.30 33.28 coins 0.57x 2026-11-10 17:55 UTC [UMP-45 | Minotaur's Labyrinth (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-minotaurs-labyrinth-field-tested) Hidden $40.57 57.95 coins $78.40 112 coins 1.93x 2026-11-10 17:55 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 08:16 UTC | $40.57 | 90.90% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $40.50 | 90.91% | 15 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $41.07 | 90.91% | 15 | | 7 Nov, 11:15 UTC | $40.88 | 90.90% | 15 | | 4 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $40.89 | 90.91% | 15 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $41.03 | 90.91% | 15 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 20.6% extraordinary 0.0% mil spec 23.0% classified 23.4% restricted 16.0% industrial 17.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt