--- title: "Veiled case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Veiled ($51.20) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 16 items with odds, observed 84.77% over 190 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/veiled rendered: 2026-11-11T22:56Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Veiled](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/veiled) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Veiled A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/veiled?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/veiled?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/veiled) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/veiled?window=all) Price · $51.20 · 73.14 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $46.54 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 84.77% · 190 openings, odds method Variance · 32.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 14.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 80.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 85.19% ±89.87 153 openings 30 days · 84.77% ±80.67 190 openings since tracking started · 84.77% ±80.67 190 openings -0.5% 311.0% 622.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/veiled?window=24h) | 4 | 63.08% ±558.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/veiled?window=7d) | 153 | 85.19% ±89.9 | −0.1σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/veiled) | 190 | 84.77% ±80.7 | −0.1σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/veiled?window=all) | 190 | 84.77% ±80.7 | −0.1σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 190 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) 4x Titan (Holo) (Minimal Wear) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear-4x-titan-holo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $28K 40,000 coins | 6.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-black-pearl) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,890 2,700 coins | 4.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-battle-scarred) | 1 in 200 | $401 573 coins | 4.3% | 2 | 1.0 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $368 526 coins | 2.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $282 403 coins | 6.1% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 147 | $270 385 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× | | [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Charred (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-charred-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $170 243 coins | 5.5% | 2 | 2.9 | 0.70× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Night (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-night-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $131 187 coins | 5.6% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.79× | | [Sticker \| fitch (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fitch-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 13 | $122 175 coins | 21.1% | 16 | 15.2 | 1.05× | | [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $118 169 coins | 7.6% | 10 | 5.7 | 1.75× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $65.49 93.55 coins | 2.8% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.05× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $49.04 70.05 coins | 4.2% | 7 | 7.6 | 0.92× | | [USP-S \| Para Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-factory-new) | 12.0% | $36.93 52.75 coins | 9.5% | 29 | 22.8 | 1.27× | | [G3SG1 \| Violet Murano (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-violet-murano-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $22.16 31.66 coins | 7.1% | 39 | 28.5 | 1.37× | | [Galil AR \| Orange DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 40.0% | $9.79 13.99 coins | 8.4% | 60 | 76.0 | 0.79× | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-forest-leaves-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10 | $6.31 9.01 coins | 1.3% | 17 | 18.8 | 0.90× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 20:32 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=veiled) [Souvenir USP-S | Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-forest-leaves-battle-scarred) Hidden $51.20 73.14 coins $6.31 9.01 coins 0.12x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC [USP-S | Para Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-factory-new) Hidden $51.20 73.14 coins $36.93 52.75 coins 0.72x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC [USP-S | Para Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-factory-new) Hidden $51.20 73.14 coins $36.93 52.75 coins 0.72x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-battle-scarred) [Miltsukkaaaw :3](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Miltsukkaaaw%20%3A3) $51.20 73.14 coins $49.04 70.05 coins 0.96x 2026-11-11 11:52 UTC [Souvenir USP-S | Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-forest-leaves-battle-scarred) Hidden $51.73 73.9 coins $6.31 9.01 coins 0.12x 2026-11-10 17:16 UTC [USP-S | Para Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-factory-new) Hidden $51.73 73.9 coins $36.93 52.75 coins 0.71x 2026-11-10 17:16 UTC [G3SG1 | Violet Murano (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-violet-murano-minimal-wear) Hidden $51.73 73.9 coins $22.16 31.66 coins 0.43x 2026-11-10 17:16 UTC [Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-orange-ddpat-battle-scarred) [Manz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Manz) $51.73 73.9 coins $11.00 15.72 coins 0.21x 2026-11-10 17:16 UTC [G3SG1 | Violet Murano (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-violet-murano-minimal-wear) Hidden $51.73 73.9 coins $22.16 31.66 coins 0.43x 2026-11-09 22:17 UTC [Sticker | fitch (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-fitch-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $51.73 73.9 coins $122 175 coins 2.37x 2026-11-09 22:17 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC | $51.20 | 90.90% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $51.73 | 90.91% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $51.18 | 90.91% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $51.49 | 90.91% | 16 | | 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $51.37 | 90.91% | 16 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $51.47 | 90.91% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed legendary 0.0% covert 5.1% extraordinary 14.0% classified 4.0% industrial 21.9% blue 15.0% restricted 40.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt