--- title: "Vertigo case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vertigo ($68.22) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 13 items with odds, observed 88.10% over 4,764 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vertigo rendered: 2026-11-11T13:17Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Vertigo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vertigo) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Vertigo A case on CSGORoll (5%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vertigo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vertigo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vertigo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vertigo?window=all) Price · $68.22 · 97.46 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $62.02 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 88.10% · 4,764 openings, odds method Variance · 36.6× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 87 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 95.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 259 openings · below min 7 days · 95.79% ±19.33 3,744 openings 30 days · 88.10% ±17.14 4,764 openings since tracking started · 88.10% ±17.14 4,764 openings 64.5% 139.0% 213.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vertigo?window=24h) | 259 | 138.95% ±73.7 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vertigo?window=7d) | 3,744 | 95.79% ±19.3 | +0.5σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vertigo) | 4,764 | 88.10% ±17.1 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vertigo?window=all) | 4,764 | 88.10% ±17.1 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,764 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $6,941 9,915 coins | 16.8% | 5 | 7.1 | 0.70× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,817 8,310 coins | 4.7% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.26× | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,281 6,115 coins | 6.9% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.05× | | [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 286 | $3,136 4,480 coins | 17.7% | 17 | 16.7 | 1.02× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Cool Mint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-cool-mint-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $1,724 2,463 coins | 13.9% | 21 | 23.8 | 0.88× | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 400 | $1,544 2,206 coins | 6.2% | 13 | 11.9 | 1.09× | | [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 100 | $929 1,327 coins | 15.0% | 50 | 47.6 | 1.05× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) | 1 in 167 | $360 514 coins | 3.5% | 36 | 28.6 | 1.26× | | [★ Bayonet \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 100 | $348 497 coins | 5.6% | 52 | 47.6 | 1.09× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $310 443 coins | 5.0% | 36 | 47.6 | 0.76× | | [CZ75-Auto \| Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) | 30.0% | $3.94 5.63 coins | 1.9% | 1,407 | 1429.2 | 0.98× | | [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-well-worn) | 30.0% | $3.69 5.27 coins | 1.8% | 1,396 | 1429.2 | 0.98× | | [PP-Bizon \| Brass (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-factory-new) | 35.0% | $1.85 2.64 coins | 1.0% | 1,723 | 1667.4 | 1.03× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $68.22 97.46 coins $6,941 9,915 coins 101.7x 2026-11-11 10:46 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) Hidden $68.22 97.46 coins $6,941 9,915 coins 101.7x 2026-11-10 17:49 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) Hidden $68.22 97.46 coins $6,941 9,915 coins 101.7x 2026-11-09 20:39 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) Hidden $68.40 97.71 coins $6,941 9,915 coins 101.5x 2026-11-08 19:17 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) Hidden $68.99 98.56 coins $6,930 9,900 coins 100.4x 2026-11-07 14:31 UTC [AWP | Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) [BierBerg](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BierBerg) $68.99 98.56 coins $6,930 9,900 coins 100.4x 2026-11-02 22:51 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $68.99 98.56 coins $5,943 8,490 coins 86.14x 2026-11-07 06:19 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $68.99 98.56 coins $5,943 8,490 coins 86.14x 2026-11-04 21:12 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) Hidden $68.99 98.56 coins $5,943 8,490 coins 86.14x 2026-11-02 22:53 UTC [★ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) Hidden $68.99 98.56 coins $4,505 6,435 coins 65.29x 2026-11-07 00:38 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=vertigo) [PP-Bizon | Brass (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-factory-new) Hidden $68.22 97.46 coins $1.85 2.64 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) Hidden $68.22 97.46 coins $3.94 5.63 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [PP-Bizon | Brass (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-factory-new) Hidden $68.22 97.46 coins $1.85 2.64 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-overprint-factory-new) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $68.22 97.46 coins $360 514 coins 5.27x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC [PP-Bizon | Brass (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-factory-new) Hidden $68.22 97.46 coins $1.85 2.64 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [Dual Berettas | Marina (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-well-worn) Hidden $68.22 97.46 coins $3.69 5.27 coins 0.05x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) Hidden $68.22 97.46 coins $3.94 5.63 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-yellow-jacket-field-tested) Hidden $68.22 97.46 coins $3.94 5.63 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [PP-Bizon | Brass (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-factory-new) Hidden $68.22 97.46 coins $1.85 2.64 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC [PP-Bizon | Brass (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-brass-factory-new) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $68.22 97.46 coins $1.85 2.64 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:41 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $68.22 | 90.91% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $68.40 | 90.91% | 13 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $68.99 | 90.91% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 2.6% high 0.4% legendary 1.1% extraordinary 1.0% classified 30.0% restricted 30.0% mil spec 35.0% best hit $6,941 (101.7x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt