--- title: "Viking Case case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Viking Case ($52.44) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 13 items with odds, observed 95.31% over 921 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking-case rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Viking Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking-case) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Viking Case A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking-case?window=all) Price · $52.44 · 74.92 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $47.68 from 13 items Observed RTP, 30d · 95.31% · 921 openings, odds method Variance · 3.4× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 76.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 78.55% ±21.67 276 openings 7 days · 89.50% ±12.79 810 openings 30 days · 95.31% ±12.01 921 openings since tracking started · 95.31% ±12.01 921 openings 56.0% 82.0% 108.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking-case?window=24h) | 276 | 78.55% ±21.7 | −1.1σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking-case?window=7d) | 810 | 89.50% ±12.8 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking-case) | 921 | 95.31% ±12.0 | +0.7σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking-case?window=all) | 921 | 95.31% ±12.0 | +0.7σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 921 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100,000 | $9,370 13,385 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 20,000 | $1,438 2,054 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 100,000 | $1,194 1,706 coins | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $363 519 coins | 22.9% | 33 | 27.6 | 1.19× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 1,000 | $348 497 coins | 0.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $315 450 coins | 19.8% | 25 | 27.6 | 0.90× | | [AUG \| Flame Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-flame-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $305 435 coins | 12.8% | 24 | 18.4 | 1.30× | | [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) | 10.0% | $109 156 coins | 22.9% | 86 | 92.1 | 0.93× | | [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $87.50 125 coins | 9.2% | 51 | 46.1 | 1.11× | | [Galil AR \| Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) | 11.9% | $20.60 29.43 coins | 5.1% | 91 | 109.5 | 0.83× | | [FAMAS \| Night Borre (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-night-borre-factory-new) | 20.0% | $9.78 13.97 coins | 4.1% | 173 | 184.2 | 0.94× | | [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-minimal-wear) | 20.0% | $3.16 4.51 coins | 1.3% | 200 | 184.2 | 1.09× | | [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Slashed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-slashed-field-tested) | 25.0% | $1.53 2.18 coins | 0.8% | 237 | 230.3 | 1.03× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=viking-case) [Tec-9 | Avalanche (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-minimal-wear) Hidden $52.44 74.92 coins $3.16 4.51 coins 0.06x 2026-11-11 07:38 UTC [FAMAS | Night Borre (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-night-borre-factory-new) Hidden $52.44 74.92 coins $9.78 13.97 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 07:38 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) [Gohan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gohan) $52.44 74.92 coins $20.60 29.43 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 07:38 UTC [FAMAS | Night Borre (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-night-borre-factory-new) Hidden $52.44 74.92 coins $9.78 13.97 coins 0.19x 2026-11-11 07:33 UTC [Galil AR | Stone Cold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-stone-cold-factory-new) Hidden $52.44 74.92 coins $20.60 29.43 coins 0.39x 2026-11-11 07:33 UTC [AWP | Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) [Gohan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gohan) $52.44 74.92 coins $109 156 coins 2.08x 2026-11-11 07:33 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-slashed-field-tested) Hidden $52.44 74.92 coins $1.53 2.18 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:32 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-slashed-field-tested) [3GO](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/3GO) $52.44 74.92 coins $1.53 2.18 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:32 UTC [AWP | Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) Hidden $52.44 74.92 coins $109 156 coins 2.08x 2026-11-11 07:32 UTC [StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-slashed-field-tested) Hidden $52.44 74.92 coins $1.53 2.18 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 07:32 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $52.44 | 90.91% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $52.02 | 90.91% | 13 | | 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $52.17 | 90.91% | 13 | | 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $52.18 | 90.91% | 13 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $52.16 | 90.91% | 13 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 10.1% restricted 39.9% classified 5.0% consumer 20.0% mil spec 25.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt