--- title: "Viking case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Viking ($39.10) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 21 items with odds, observed 97.60% over 798 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Viking](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Viking A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking?window=all) Price · $39.10 · 55.85 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $35.54 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 97.60% · 798 openings, odds method Variance · 17.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 1 in 56 · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 83.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 40 openings · below min 7 days · 97.52% ±31.29 695 openings 30 days · 97.60% ±29.20 798 openings since tracking started · 97.60% ±29.20 798 openings -0.5% 120.3% 241.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking?window=24h) | 40 | 109.95% ±130.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking?window=7d) | 695 | 97.52% ±31.3 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking) | 798 | 97.60% ±29.2 | +0.4σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/viking?window=all) | 798 | 97.60% ±29.2 | +0.4σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 798 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Slingshot (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-slingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 1,176 | $2,790 3,985 coins | 6.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,053 | $1,970 2,815 coins | 5.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 435 | $1,547 2,210 coins | 10.0% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.63× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 256 | $1,292 1,845 coins | 14.2% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× | | [MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $636 908 coins | 8.9% | 6 | 4.0 | 1.50× | | [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 208 | $531 758 coins | 7.2% | 6 | 3.8 | 1.57× | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 122 | $471 673 coins | 10.9% | 6 | 6.5 | 0.92× | | [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $219 313 coins | 6.2% | 7 | 8.0 | 0.88× | | [MAC-10 \| Copper Borre (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $85.40 122 coins | 3.6% | 9 | 12.0 | 0.75× | | [MLG Columbus 2016 Cache Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/mlg-columbus-2016-cache-souvenir-package) | 1 in 63 | $48.68 69.54 coins | 2.2% | 22 | 12.8 | 1.72× | | [AWP \| Queen's Gambit (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-queens-gambit-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $48.53 69.33 coins | 2.5% | 18 | 14.4 | 1.25× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Crane Flight (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-crane-flight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $48.53 69.33 coins | 2.9% | 13 | 16.8 | 0.78× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $41.03 58.61 coins | 7.4% | 69 | 51.1 | 1.35× | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $29.48 42.11 coins | 5.4% | 64 | 51.9 | 1.23× | | [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Antique (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-antique-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $11.20 16 coins | 2.0% | 43 | 51.9 | 0.83× | | [Autograph Capsule \| Natus Vincere \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-natus-vincere-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 14 | $5.25 7.5 coins | 1.0% | 52 | 55.9 | 0.93× | | [SG 553 \| Traveler (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-traveler-battle-scarred) | 11.5% | $3.85 5.5 coins | 1.2% | 98 | 91.8 | 1.07× | | [Sticker \| byali \| Cologne 2016 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-byali-cologne-2016) | 14.0% | $2.65 3.78 coins | 1.0% | 118 | 111.7 | 1.06× | | [USP-S \| Desert Tactical (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-desert-tactical-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $2.42 3.46 coins | 0.5% | 51 | 56.7 | 0.90× | | [StatTrak™ Nova \| Plume (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-plume-minimal-wear) | 14.4% | $1.53 2.18 coins | 0.6% | 116 | 114.9 | 1.01× | | [StatTrak™ AUG \| Luxe Trim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-luxe-trim-minimal-wear) | 16.0% | $0.80 1.14 coins | 0.4% | 94 | 127.7 | 0.74× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-fade-factory-new) Hidden $39.10 55.85 coins $1,970 2,815 coins 50.40x 2026-11-10 12:15 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) Hidden $39.07 55.82 coins $1,547 2,210 coins 39.59x 2026-11-10 11:34 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) Hidden $39.45 56.35 coins $1,547 2,210 coins 39.22x 2026-11-06 21:02 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) Hidden $39.45 56.35 coins $1,547 2,210 coins 39.22x 2026-11-04 10:06 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $39.07 55.82 coins $1,292 1,845 coins 33.05x 2026-11-10 11:17 UTC [★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $39.45 56.35 coins $1,292 1,845 coins 32.74x 2026-11-07 01:59 UTC [MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-factory-new) Hidden $39.45 56.35 coins $638 911 coins 16.17x 2026-11-06 23:44 UTC [MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-factory-new) [pimpinainteasy](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/pimpinainteasy) $39.45 56.35 coins $638 911 coins 16.17x 2026-11-04 17:32 UTC [MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-factory-new) Hidden $39.45 56.35 coins $638 911 coins 16.17x 2026-11-04 14:49 UTC [MAG-7 | Cinquedea (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-factory-new) Hidden $39.10 55.85 coins $636 908 coins 16.26x 2026-11-10 18:00 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=viking) [Autograph Capsule | Natus Vincere | Cluj-Napoca 2015 other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-natus-vincere-cluj-napoca-2015) Hidden $39.10 55.85 coins $5.25 7.5 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 01:41 UTC [MAC-10 | Copper Borre (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-copper-borre-factory-new) [Pontus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Pontus) $39.10 55.85 coins $85.40 122 coins 2.18x 2026-11-11 01:41 UTC [MLG Columbus 2016 Cache Souvenir Package container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/mlg-columbus-2016-cache-souvenir-package) Hidden $39.10 55.85 coins $48.68 69.54 coins 1.25x 2026-11-11 01:41 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Luxe Trim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-luxe-trim-minimal-wear) [Pontus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Pontus) $39.10 55.85 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 01:41 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Luxe Trim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-luxe-trim-minimal-wear) Hidden $39.10 55.85 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 01:41 UTC [Autograph Capsule | Natus Vincere | Cluj-Napoca 2015 other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-natus-vincere-cluj-napoca-2015) Hidden $39.10 55.85 coins $5.25 7.5 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 01:41 UTC [Sticker | byali | Cologne 2016 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-byali-cologne-2016) [Pontus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Pontus) $39.10 55.85 coins $2.65 3.78 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 01:41 UTC [StatTrak™ Nova | Plume (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-plume-minimal-wear) Hidden $39.10 55.85 coins $1.53 2.18 coins 0.04x 2026-11-11 01:41 UTC [StatTrak™ AUG | Luxe Trim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-luxe-trim-minimal-wear) Hidden $39.10 55.85 coins $0.80 1.14 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 01:41 UTC [Autograph Capsule | Natus Vincere | Cluj-Napoca 2015 other · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/autograph-capsule-natus-vincere-cluj-napoca-2015) [Pontus](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Pontus) $39.10 55.85 coins $5.25 7.5 coins 0.13x 2026-11-11 01:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 10 Nov, 14:18 UTC | $39.10 | 90.90% | 21 | | 9 Nov, 00:04 UTC | $39.07 | 90.90% | 21 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $39.07 | 90.92% | 21 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $39.14 | 90.91% | 21 | | 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $39.43 | 90.90% | 21 | | 4 Nov, 14:11 UTC | $39.45 | 90.91% | 21 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $39.38 | 90.91% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed extraordinary 0.5% covert 2.6% classified 6.9% mil spec 22.4% base 8.6% rare 3.9% restricted 6.5% industrial 18.6% high 14.0% common 16.0% best hit $1,970 (50.40x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt