--- title: "Vines case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vines ($80.00) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 14 items with odds, observed 83.90% over 47 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vines rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Vines](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vines) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Vines A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vines?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vines?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vines) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vines?window=all) Price · $80.00 · 114 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $72.72 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 83.90% · 47 openings, odds method Variance · 1.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.2% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 58.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 33 openings · below min 30 days · 47 openings · below min since tracking started · 47 openings · below min 32.5% 74.0% 115.5% **Small sample.** 47 openings and 13.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vines?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vines?window=7d) | 33 | 70.54% ±37.4 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vines) | 47 | 83.90% ±31.2 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vines?window=all) | 47 | 83.90% ±31.2 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 47 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 20,000 | $4,277 6,110 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Amphibious (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-amphibious-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $3,458 4,940 coins | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Hand Wraps \| Cobalt Skulls (Factory New) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-cobalt-skulls-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $1,033 1,475 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $646 923 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 33 | $388 554 coins | 16.0% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.42× | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $143 204 coins | 5.9% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.71× | | [AK-47 \| First Class (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $137 196 coins | 18.9% | 1 | 4.7 | 0.21× | | [Sticker \| KRIMZ (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-krimz-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 20 | $124 177 coins | 8.5% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.43× | | [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 10.0% | $113 162 coins | 15.6% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× | | [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 10.0% | $113 161 coins | 15.5% | 10 | 4.7 | 2.13× | | [MAC-10 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-case-hardened-factory-new) | 10.8% | $41.77 59.67 coins | 6.2% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.98× | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 15.0% | $41.03 58.61 coins | 8.5% | 4 | 7.0 | 0.57× | | [AUG \| Torque (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-factory-new) | 15.0% | $8.04 11.48 coins | 1.7% | 11 | 7.0 | 1.56× | | [MP9 \| Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-well-worn) | 18.0% | $4.68 6.68 coins | 1.2% | 9 | 8.5 | 1.06× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=vines) [MP9 | Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-well-worn) Hidden $80.00 114 coins $4.68 6.68 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 22:50 UTC [MP9 | Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-well-worn) [na'thanx](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/na'thanx) $80.00 114 coins $4.68 6.68 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 22:50 UTC [M4A4 | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) [Veckans](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Veckans) $80.00 114 coins $113 162 coins 1.42x 2026-11-09 22:50 UTC [AUG | Torque (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-factory-new) Hidden $80.00 114 coins $8.04 11.48 coins 0.10x 2026-11-09 22:50 UTC [MP9 | Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-well-worn) Hidden $80.00 114 coins $4.68 6.68 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 22:50 UTC [MP9 | Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-well-worn) [Veckans](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Veckans) $80.00 114 coins $4.68 6.68 coins 0.06x 2026-11-09 22:50 UTC [StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) Hidden $80.00 114 coins $113 161 coins 1.41x 2026-11-09 22:50 UTC [AUG | Torque (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-factory-new) [na'thanx](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/na'thanx) $80.00 114 coins $8.04 11.48 coins 0.10x 2026-11-09 22:50 UTC [MP9 | Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-well-worn) Hidden $79.95 114 coins $4.45 6.36 coins 0.06x 2026-11-08 20:51 UTC [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Cartel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-cartel-field-tested) Hidden $79.95 114 coins $41.03 58.61 coins 0.51x 2026-11-08 20:51 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $80.00 | 90.91% | 14 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $80.24 | 90.91% | 14 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $76.02 | 90.91% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 0.0% extraordinary 5.0% legendary 0.1% covert 26.1% restricted 35.8% classified 33.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt