--- title: "Visions case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Visions ($877.61) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 21 items with odds, observed 92.77% over 62 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/visions rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Visions](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/visions) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Visions A case on CSGORoll (50%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/visions?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/visions?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/visions) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/visions?window=all) Price · $877.61 · 1,254 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $797.83 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.77% · 62 openings, odds method Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 17.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 61.7% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 16 openings · below min 7 days · 58 openings · below min 30 days · 62 openings · below min since tracking started · 62 openings · below min 57.5% 130.8% 204.0% **Small sample.** 62 openings and 8.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/visions?window=24h) | 16 | 136.38% ±66.8 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/visions?window=7d) | 58 | 94.94% ±35.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/visions) | 62 | 92.77% ±34.5 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/visions?window=all) | 62 | 92.77% ±34.5 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 62 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Sticker \| Team LDLC.com (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-team-ldlc-com-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 10,000 | $20.8K 29,650 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Wild Lotus (Factory New) weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wild-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $13.5K 19,275 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Gungnir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-gungnir-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $6,941 9,915 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 2,000 | $5,978 8,540 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) | 1 in 154 | $5,684 8,120 coins | 4.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 222 | $5,156 7,365 coins | 2.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,281 6,115 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-minimal-wear-sapphire) | 1 in 400 | $4,197 5,995 coins | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [Sticker \| iBUYPOWER \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) | 1 in 20 | $4,035 5,765 coins | 25.3% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 1,250 | $3,941 5,630 coins | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 125 | $2,755 3,935 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 67 | $2,681 3,830 coins | 5.0% | 1 | 0.9 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $1,489 2,127 coins | 14.9% | 10 | 5.0 | 2.02× | | [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 83 | $1,467 2,096 coins | 2.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 33 | $1,194 1,706 coins | 4.5% | 4 | 1.9 | 2.15× | | [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) | 11.0% | $1,066 1,523 coins | 14.7% | 7 | 6.8 | 1.03× | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $937 1,339 coins | 7.0% | 7 | 3.7 | 1.88× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-factory-new) | 11.7% | $767 1,095 coins | 11.3% | 2 | 7.3 | 0.28× | | [Sticker \| Hypnoteyes (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hypnoteyes-holo) | 20.0% | $0.66 0.94 coins | 0.0% | 10 | 12.4 | 0.81× | | [Sticker \| Gold Teef (Foil) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-gold-teef-foil) | 15.0% | $0.62 0.89 coins | 0.0% | 7 | 9.3 | 0.75× | | [Sticker \| Bolt Charge sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-charge) | 15.0% | $0.15 0.22 coins | 0.0% | 11 | 9.3 | 1.18× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fire Serpent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-factory-new) [karma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/karma) $878 1,254 coins $5,684 8,120 coins 6.48x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $878 1,254 coins $5,156 7,365 coins 5.87x 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC [Sticker | iBUYPOWER | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ibuypower-katowice-2014) Hidden $854 1,220 coins $4,035 5,765 coins 4.72x 2026-11-04 22:03 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) Hidden $854 1,220 coins $2,681 3,830 coins 3.14x 2026-11-04 21:57 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $878 1,254 coins $1,489 2,127 coins 1.70x 2026-11-10 23:27 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $854 1,220 coins $1,248 1,783 coins 1.46x 2026-11-04 22:04 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $854 1,220 coins $1,248 1,783 coins 1.46x 2026-11-04 22:03 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $854 1,220 coins $1,248 1,783 coins 1.46x 2026-11-04 22:03 UTC [★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) Hidden $854 1,220 coins $1,248 1,783 coins 1.46x 2026-11-04 22:00 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-web-factory-new) Hidden $854 1,220 coins $1,083 1,547 coins 1.27x 2026-11-04 22:04 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=visions) [Sticker | Bolt Charge sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-charge) [karma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/karma) $878 1,254 coins $0.15 0.22 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:36 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $878 1,254 coins $937 1,339 coins 1.07x 2026-11-10 23:36 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $878 1,254 coins $1,066 1,523 coins 1.21x 2026-11-10 23:36 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $878 1,254 coins $937 1,339 coins 1.07x 2026-11-10 23:36 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) Hidden $878 1,254 coins $937 1,339 coins 1.07x 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC [★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-factory-new) Hidden $878 1,254 coins $1,066 1,523 coins 1.21x 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC [M4A4 | Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) Hidden $878 1,254 coins $5,156 7,365 coins 5.87x 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC [★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) [karma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/karma) $878 1,254 coins $937 1,339 coins 1.07x 2026-11-10 23:31 UTC [Sticker | Hypnoteyes (Holo) sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hypnoteyes-holo) Hidden $878 1,254 coins $0.66 0.94 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC [Sticker | Bolt Charge sticker · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-bolt-charge) Hidden $878 1,254 coins $0.15 0.22 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 23:29 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $878 | 90.91% | 21 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $878 | 90.91% | 21 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $854 | 90.91% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed remarkable 0.0% legendary 0.7% covert 24.1% contraband 0.4% high 5.0% extraordinary 19.7% common 35.0% pink 15.0% best hit $5,684 (6.48x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt