--- title: "Vogue case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Vogue ($3.42) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 21 items with odds, observed 91.44% over 19.1K openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vogue rendered: 2026-11-11T13:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Vogue](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vogue) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Vogue A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vogue?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vogue?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vogue) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vogue?window=all) Price · $3.42 · 4.89 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $3.11 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.44% · 19.1K openings, odds method Variance · 1.7× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.3% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 92.08% ±4.48 3,261 openings 7 days · 91.26% ±2.02 16.1K openings 30 days · 91.44% ±1.85 19.1K openings since tracking started · 91.44% ±1.85 19.1K openings 87.0% 92.0% 97.0% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vogue?window=24h) | 3,261 | 92.08% ±4.48 | +0.5σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vogue?window=7d) | 16.1K | 91.26% ±2.02 | +0.4σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vogue) | 19.1K | 91.44% ±1.85 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/vogue?window=all) | 19.1K | 91.44% ±1.85 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 19.2K openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-well-worn) | 1 in 90,909 | $155 221 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16,949 | $72.80 104 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Gold Toof (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-gold-toof-minimal-wear) | 1 in 11,111 | $66.84 95.48 coins | 0.2% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.58× | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,448 | $53.78 76.83 coins | 0.5% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.90× | | [MP9 \| Latte Rush (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-latte-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $45.99 65.7 coins | 0.6% | 12 | 7.7 | 1.57× | | [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $30.68 43.83 coins | 0.5% | 11 | 9.6 | 1.15× | | [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Afterimage (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-afterimage-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,000 | $27.04 38.63 coins | 0.4% | 9 | 9.6 | 0.94× | | [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| XOXO (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-xoxo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,538 | $26.57 37.95 coins | 0.6% | 13 | 12.5 | 1.04× | | [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 133 | $18.43 26.33 coins | 4.4% | 178 | 143.8 | 1.24× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 87 | $18.16 25.94 coins | 6.7% | 163 | 220.4 | 0.74× | | [SSG 08 \| Turbo Peek (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-turbo-peek-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $15.11 21.58 coins | 7.0% | 302 | 278.0 | 1.09× | | [Sticker \| Miami Flow (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-flow-holo) | 1 in 41 | $14.00 20 coins | 11.0% | 493 | 469.6 | 1.05× | | [Souvenir USP-S \| Check Engine (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-check-engine-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $9.44 13.48 coins | 8.2% | 632 | 517.6 | 1.22× | | [Sticker \| mousesports (Foil) \| Berlin 2019 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-foil-berlin-2019) | 1 in 29 | $8.90 12.72 coins | 10.0% | 568 | 670.9 | 0.85× | | [Charm \| Semi-Precious charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-semi-precious) | 1 in 27 | $8.11 11.58 coins | 9.6% | 710 | 709.3 | 1.00× | | [SG 553 \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 22 | $4.61 6.59 coins | 6.7% | 1,164 | 872.2 | 1.33× | | [Sticker \| Vexed Gaming \| Cluj-Napoca 2015 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-vexed-gaming-cluj-napoca-2015) | 1 in 15 | $4.12 5.89 coins | 8.8% | 1,005 | 1274.7 | 0.79× | | [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 11.8% | $3.29 4.7 coins | 12.5% | 2,256 | 2271.5 | 0.99× | | [Sticker \| Red Shades (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shades-foil) | 19.0% | $1.01 1.44 coins | 6.2% | 3,596 | 3642.1 | 0.99× | | [Charm \| Glamour Shot charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-glamour-shot) | 20.0% | $0.59 0.85 coins | 3.8% | 3,873 | 3833.8 | 1.01× | | [Sticker \| INS (Holo) \| Paris 2023 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ins-holo-paris-2023) | 22.0% | $0.27 0.39 coins | 1.9% | 4,178 | 4217.2 | 0.99× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=vogue) [Sticker | Red Shades (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shades-foil) Hidden $3.42 4.89 coins $1.01 1.44 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [Charm | Glamour Shot charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-glamour-shot) Hidden $3.42 4.89 coins $0.59 0.85 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [Sticker | Miami Flow (Holo) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-miami-flow-holo) Hidden $3.42 4.89 coins $14.00 20 coins 4.09x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [Charm | Semi-Precious charm · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-semi-precious) [Earth\_Qake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Earth_Qake) $3.42 4.89 coins $8.11 11.58 coins 2.37x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC [Charm | Glamour Shot charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-glamour-shot) Hidden $3.42 4.89 coins $0.59 0.85 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) Hidden $3.42 4.89 coins $3.29 4.7 coins 0.96x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Charm | Glamour Shot charm · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-glamour-shot) [Earth\_Qake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Earth_Qake) $3.42 4.89 coins $0.59 0.85 coins 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Sticker | mousesports (Foil) | Berlin 2019 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-mousesports-foil-berlin-2019) Hidden $3.42 4.89 coins $8.90 12.72 coins 2.60x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC [Sticker | INS (Holo) | Paris 2023 sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-ins-holo-paris-2023) [BARDA](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BARDA) $3.42 4.89 coins $0.27 0.39 coins 0.08x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC [Sticker | Red Shades (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-red-shades-foil) Hidden $3.42 4.89 coins $1.01 1.44 coins 0.29x 2026-11-11 13:37 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $3.42 | 90.92% | 21 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $3.42 | 90.96% | 21 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $3.42 | 90.83% | 21 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $3.42 | 90.83% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 2.0% covert 0.1% rare 3.7% #d32ee6 13.3% remarkable 2.5% mil spec 2.7% exotic 25.5% industrial 4.5% high 6.7% #d32ce6 19.0% uncommon 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt