---
title: "Voxel case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Voxel ($281.13) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 21 items with odds, observed 97.95% over 106 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/voxel
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Voxel](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/voxel)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Voxel

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/voxel?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/voxel?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/voxel) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/voxel?window=all)

Price · $281.13 · 402 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $255.57 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.95% · 106 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 11.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 84 openings · below min

30 days · 97.95% ±30.67 106 openings

since tracking started · 97.95% ±30.67 106 openings

56.5% 93.0% 129.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/voxel?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/voxel?window=7d) | 84 | 91.84% ±34.5 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/voxel) | 106 | 97.95% ±30.7 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/voxel?window=all) | 106 | 97.95% ±30.7 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 106 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| Virtus.Pro (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-virtus-pro-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 667 | $4,305 6,150 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Sticker \| LGB eSports (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-lgb-esports-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000 | $4,088 5,840 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sticker \| Reason Gaming \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) | 1 in 133 | $3,164 4,520 coins | 9.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [Sticker \| Titan \| Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-titan-katowice-2014) | 1 in 400 | $3,136 4,480 coins | 3.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 61 | $1,357 1,939 coins | 8.8% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.72× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $1,063 1,518 coins | 4.2% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Sticker \| jks (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jks-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 28 | $947 1,353 coins | 13.3% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.52× |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $861 1,230 coins | 4.2% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.26× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 200 | $816 1,166 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-well-worn) | 1 in 41 | $811 1,159 coins | 7.8% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.16× |
| [Sticker \| JW (Gold) \| Krakow 2017 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jw-gold-krakow-2017) | 1 in 50 | $448 640 coins | 3.5% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.94× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Lore (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $434 620 coins | 2.6% | 5 | 1.6 | 3.04× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 33 | $325 464 coins | 3.8% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| [Sticker \| nitr0 (Gold) \| Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nitr0-gold-boston-2018) | 1 in 17 | $286 409 coins | 6.7% | 4 | 6.4 | 0.63× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 25 | $269 384 coins | 4.2% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $174 248 coins | 5.8% | 11 | 9.0 | 1.22× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $150 214 coins | 2.9% | 4 | 5.3 | 0.75× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 11.5% | $83.30 119 coins | 3.7% | 8 | 12.2 | 0.66× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 14.0% | $79.10 113 coins | 4.3% | 14 | 14.8 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 17.8% | $51.07 72.95 coins | 3.5% | 21 | 18.8 | 1.12× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 15.0% | $41.94 59.92 coins | 2.5% | 19 | 15.9 | 1.19× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) [Jake](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jake) $283 404 coins $3,164 4,520 coins 11.18x 2026-11-04 21:42 UTC

[Sticker | Reason Gaming | Katowice 2014 sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-reason-gaming-katowice-2014) Hidden $283 404 coins $3,164 4,520 coins 11.18x 2026-11-03 12:58 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $283 404 coins $1,378 1,968 coins 4.87x 2026-11-08 00:57 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $283 404 coins $1,378 1,968 coins 4.87x 2026-11-04 18:17 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $281 402 coins $1,357 1,939 coins 4.83x 2026-11-10 13:47 UTC

[Sticker | jks (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jks-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $281 402 coins $947 1,353 coins 3.37x 2026-11-10 13:57 UTC

[Sticker | jks (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jks-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $283 404 coins $947 1,353 coins 3.35x 2026-11-04 21:42 UTC

[Sticker | jks (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jks-gold-boston-2018) [m1chi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1chi) $283 404 coins $947 1,353 coins 3.35x 2026-11-03 12:54 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) Hidden $281 402 coins $861 1,230 coins 3.06x 2026-11-10 13:52 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [m1chi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1chi) $283 404 coins $861 1,230 coins 3.04x 2026-11-03 12:58 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=voxel)

[AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $281 402 coins $83.30 119 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) Hidden $281 402 coins $41.94 59.92 coins 0.15x 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) Hidden $281 402 coins $51.07 72.95 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) [m1chi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1chi) $281 402 coins $51.07 72.95 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 13:59 UTC

[Sticker | nitr0 (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-nitr0-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $281 402 coins $286 409 coins 1.02x 2026-11-10 13:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) Hidden $281 402 coins $51.07 72.95 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 13:57 UTC

[Sticker | jks (Gold) | Boston 2018 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-jks-gold-boston-2018) Hidden $281 402 coins $947 1,353 coins 3.37x 2026-11-10 13:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) [m1chi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/m1chi) $281 402 coins $51.07 72.95 coins 0.18x 2026-11-10 13:57 UTC

[AWP | Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) Hidden $281 402 coins $83.30 119 coins 0.30x 2026-11-10 13:55 UTC

[M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) Hidden $281 402 coins $79.10 113 coins 0.28x 2026-11-10 13:55 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $281 | 90.91% | 21 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $282 | 90.91% | 21 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $283 | 90.91% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed legendary 0.1% remarkable 0.1% high 1.0% covert 68.2% extraordinary 11.6% classified 17.4% epic 1.6% best hit $3,164 (11.18x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt