--- title: "Washed case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Washed ($44.56) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 17 items with odds, observed 91.48% over 55 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/washed rendered: 2026-11-11T18:33Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Washed](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/washed) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Washed A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/washed?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/washed?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/washed) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/washed?window=all) Price · $44.56 · 63.65 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $40.50 from 17 items Observed RTP, 30d · 91.48% · 55 openings, odds method Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.1% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 72.9% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 45 openings · below min 30 days · 55 openings · below min since tracking started · 55 openings · below min 66.5% 133.3% 200.0% **Small sample.** 55 openings and 14.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/washed?window=24h) | 10 | 142.75% ±56.6 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/washed?window=7d) | 45 | 96.71% ±26.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/washed) | 55 | 91.48% ±24.1 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/washed?window=all) | 55 | 91.48% ±24.1 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 55 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000 | $563 804 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Urban Masked (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-urban-masked-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $281 401 coins | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $270 386 coins | 3.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Stiletto Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $193 276 coins | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [SSG 08 \| Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $125 178 coins | 18.5% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $119 170 coins | 2.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 77 | $111 159 coins | 3.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — | | [★ Paracord Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $68.27 97.53 coins | 2.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $57.26 81.8 coins | 4.9% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.04× | | [PP-Bizon \| Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rust-coat-factory-new) | 12.6% | $53.47 76.39 coins | 16.7% | 7 | 6.9 | 1.01× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $41.38 59.11 coins | 4.6% | 5 | 2.5 | 2.02× | | [MAC-10 \| Commuter (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-commuter-factory-new) | 15.0% | $34.17 48.82 coins | 12.7% | 8 | 8.3 | 0.97× | | [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $32.80 46.86 coins | 5.8% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.76× | | [P250 \| Modern Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-field-tested) | 15.0% | $23.62 33.74 coins | 8.7% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.73× | | [Desert Eagle \| Urban DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-factory-new) | 14.4% | $17.93 25.62 coins | 6.4% | 9 | 7.9 | 1.14× | | [P2000 \| Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-factory-new) | 14.0% | $12.68 18.12 coins | 4.4% | 8 | 7.7 | 1.04× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $3.34 4.77 coins | 0.2% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.30× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=washed) [Souvenir AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) [AWP GOD](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/AWP%20GOD) $44.56 63.65 coins $3.34 4.77 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [PP-Bizon | Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $44.56 63.65 coins $53.47 76.39 coins 1.20x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [PP-Bizon | Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rust-coat-factory-new) Hidden $44.56 63.65 coins $53.47 76.39 coins 1.20x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-urban-ddpat-factory-new) Hidden $44.56 63.65 coins $17.93 25.62 coins 0.40x 2026-11-11 14:33 UTC [P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-factory-new) Hidden $44.56 63.65 coins $12.68 18.12 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [SSG 08 | Sand Dune (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-sand-dune-factory-new) Hidden $44.56 63.65 coins $125 178 coins 2.80x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [MAC-10 | Commuter (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-commuter-factory-new) Hidden $44.56 63.65 coins $34.17 48.82 coins 0.77x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [P2000 | Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-pathfinder-factory-new) Hidden $44.56 63.65 coins $12.68 18.12 coins 0.28x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) Hidden $44.56 63.65 coins $270 386 coins 6.06x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC [PP-Bizon | Rust Coat (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-rust-coat-factory-new) [Tiny Tim.CsgoRoll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Tiny%20Tim.CsgoRoll.com) $44.56 63.65 coins $53.47 76.39 coins 1.20x 2026-11-11 06:19 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $44.56 | 90.91% | 17 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $44.74 | 90.90% | 17 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $44.79 | 90.91% | 17 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 9.5% consumer 6.0% restricted 3.5% mil spec 34.8% industrial 46.2% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt