---
title: "Whack case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Whack ($119.98) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 17 items with odds, observed 93.16% over 113 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/whack
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:47Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Whack](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/whack)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Whack

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/whack?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/whack?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/whack) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/whack?window=all)

Price · $119.98 · 171 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $109.07 from 17 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.16% · 113 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 89.03% ±26.63 105 openings

30 days · 93.16% ±25.68 113 openings

since tracking started · 93.16% ±25.68 113 openings

61.5% 90.5% 119.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/whack?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/whack?window=7d) | 105 | 89.03% ±26.6 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/whack) | 113 | 93.16% ±25.7 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/whack?window=all) | 113 | 93.16% ±25.7 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 17 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 113 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $2,716 3,880 coins | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Superconductor (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-superconductor-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $1,142 1,632 coins | 2.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $1,068 1,526 coins | 3.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $811 1,159 coins | 3.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Neon Kimono (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $452 646 coins | 24.9% | 10 | 6.8 | 1.47× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $350 500 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $332 474 coins | 2.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Ruby) StatTrak · knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new-ruby) | 1 in 77 | $325 464 coins | 3.9% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-3) | 1 in 29 | $147 210 coins | 4.7% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.76× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $118 169 coins | 7.8% | 9 | 8.1 | 1.11× |
| [MAC-10 \| Graven (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-graven-factory-new) | 15.0% | $109 156 coins | 15.0% | 22 | 16.9 | 1.30× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $98.70 141 coins | 4.1% | 6 | 5.1 | 1.18× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 36 | $97.30 139 coins | 2.5% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.95× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Night (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-night-well-worn) | 14.0% | $46.46 66.37 coins | 6.0% | 12 | 15.8 | 0.76× |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 12.6% | $46.07 65.82 coins | 5.3% | 18 | 14.3 | 1.26× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 15.0% | $38.40 54.86 coins | 5.3% | 13 | 16.9 | 0.77× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 14.4% | $3.34 4.77 coins | 0.4% | 15 | 16.3 | 0.92× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $122 174 coins $1,086 1,551 coins 8.91x 2026-11-07 23:53 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=whack)

[Souvenir AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $120 171 coins $3.34 4.77 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 03:16 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) Hidden $120 171 coins $46.07 65.82 coins 0.38x 2026-11-10 03:16 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-caiman-field-tested) Hidden $120 171 coins $38.40 54.86 coins 0.32x 2026-11-10 03:16 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-neon-kimono-field-tested) [Luxi](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Luxi) $120 171 coins $452 646 coins 3.77x 2026-11-10 03:16 UTC

[Souvenir AWP | Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) Souvenir · weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) Hidden $120 171 coins $3.34 4.77 coins 0.03x 2026-11-10 01:05 UTC

[★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) Hidden $120 171 coins $46.07 65.82 coins 0.38x 2026-11-10 01:05 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-field-tested) Hidden $120 171 coins $98.70 141 coins 0.82x 2026-11-10 01:05 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-caiman-field-tested) Hidden $120 171 coins $38.40 54.86 coins 0.32x 2026-11-10 01:05 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-caiman-field-tested) Hidden $120 171 coins $38.40 54.86 coins 0.32x 2026-11-10 01:05 UTC

[MAC-10 | Graven (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-graven-factory-new) [Anh Trithong](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Anh%20Trithong) $120 171 coins $109 156 coins 0.91x 2026-11-10 01:05 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $120 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $121 | 90.91% | 17 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $122 | 90.91% | 17 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed extraordinary 0.4% covert 42.1% restricted 21.0% classified 22.2% industrial 14.4% best hit $1,086 (8.91x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt