--- title: "Wild Ride case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wild Ride ($9.10) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.90% from 8 items with odds, observed 92.53% over 3,151 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-ride rendered: 2026-11-11T18:41Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Wild Ride](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-ride) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Wild Ride A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-ride?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-ride?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-ride) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-ride?window=all) Price · $9.10 · 13 coins Advertised RTP · 90.90% · EV $8.27 from 8 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.53% · 3,151 openings, odds method Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 77.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 88.89% ±16.06 450 openings 7 days · 91.87% ±6.58 2,696 openings 30 days · 92.53% ±6.09 3,151 openings since tracking started · 92.53% ±6.09 3,151 openings 72.0% 88.8% 105.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-ride?window=24h) | 450 | 88.89% ±16.1 | −0.2σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-ride?window=7d) | 2,696 | 91.87% ±6.58 | +0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-ride) | 3,151 | 92.53% ±6.09 | +0.6σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-ride?window=all) | 3,151 | 92.53% ±6.09 | +0.6σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 8 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,151 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-well-worn) | 10.0% | $50.27 71.81 coins | 60.8% | 342 | 315.1 | 1.09× | | [FAMAS \| Valence (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $27.71 39.58 coins | 6.7% | 60 | 63.0 | 0.95× | | [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $27.59 39.41 coins | 16.7% | 126 | 157.6 | 0.80× | | [P250 \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 500 | $17.67 25.25 coins | 0.4% | 9 | 6.3 | 1.43× | | [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $17.51 25.01 coins | 2.1% | 32 | 31.5 | 1.02× | | [SCAR-20 \| Splash Jam (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-splash-jam-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $13.40 19.14 coins | 6.5% | 129 | 126.0 | 1.02× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 18.8% | $2.94 4.2 coins | 6.7% | 580 | 592.4 | 0.98× | | [Galil AR \| VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-varicamo-field-tested) | 59.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.1% | 1,873 | 1859.1 | 1.01× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=wild-ride) [Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $9.10 13 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:01 UTC [Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $9.10 13 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:01 UTC [Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $9.10 13 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:01 UTC [Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $9.10 13 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:01 UTC [Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-varicamo-field-tested) [Queen](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Queen) $9.10 13 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 18:01 UTC [Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-well-worn) Hidden $9.10 13 coins $50.27 71.81 coins 5.52x 2026-11-11 18:01 UTC [Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $9.10 13 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:57 UTC [Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $9.10 13 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:57 UTC [Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $9.10 13 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:57 UTC [Galil AR | VariCamo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-varicamo-field-tested) Hidden $9.10 13 coins $0.02 0.03 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 16:57 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $9.10 | 90.90% | 8 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $8.96 | 90.89% | 8 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 15.0% restricted 20.8% industrial 60.2% classified 4.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.90 on average: an expected loss of $9.10 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt