--- title: "Wild West case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wild West ($47.83) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 19 items with odds, observed 101.38% over 79 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-west rendered: 2026-11-11T13:52Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Wild West](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-west) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Wild West A case on CSGORoll (20%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-west?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-west?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-west) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-west?window=all) Price · $47.83 · 68.33 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $43.48 from 19 items Observed RTP, 30d · 101.38% · 79 openings, odds method Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 60.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 60 openings · below min 30 days · 79 openings · below min since tracking started · 79 openings · below min 79.0% 104.7% 130.5% **Small sample.** 79 openings and 21.3 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-west?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-west?window=7d) | 60 | 105.18% ±24.8 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-west) | 79 | 101.38% ±21.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wild-west?window=all) | 79 | 101.38% ±21.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 19 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 79 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Ruby) knife · covert · Ruby](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-ruby) | 1 in 2,000 | $617 882 coins | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $409 584 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $279 398 coins | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 2,000 | $242 346 coins | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $226 323 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Blue Steel (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-blue-steel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000 | $221 315 coins | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 286 | $142 203 coins | 1.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — | | [★ Nomad Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $139 199 coins | 1.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $122 175 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — | | [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $109 156 coins | 12.6% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.76× | | [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $98.70 141 coins | 22.7% | 11 | 7.9 | 1.39× | | [R8 Revolver \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) | 10.0% | $88.20 126 coins | 20.3% | 8 | 7.9 | 1.01× | | [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $83.30 119 coins | 15.3% | 7 | 6.3 | 1.11× | | [USP-S \| Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $78.40 112 coins | 9.0% | 8 | 4.0 | 2.03× | | [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-factory-new) | 10.0% | $24.23 34.62 coins | 5.6% | 6 | 7.9 | 0.76× | | [M4A4 \| Desert Storm (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desert-storm-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $13.52 19.31 coins | 3.1% | 6 | 7.9 | 0.76× | | [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $11.19 15.98 coins | 2.6% | 8 | 7.9 | 1.01× | | [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-battle-scarred) | 10.0% | $3.65 5.21 coins | 0.8% | 9 | 7.9 | 1.14× | | [Tec-9 \| Sandstorm (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-field-tested) | 20.0% | $0.41 0.58 coins | 0.2% | 12 | 15.8 | 0.76× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=wild-west) [Tec-9 | Sandstorm (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sandstorm-field-tested) Hidden $47.83 68.33 coins $0.41 0.58 coins 0.01x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-minimal-wear) Hidden $47.83 68.33 coins $11.19 15.98 coins 0.23x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $47.83 68.33 coins $88.20 126 coins 1.84x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) Hidden $47.83 68.33 coins $98.70 141 coins 2.06x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $47.83 68.33 coins $88.20 126 coins 1.84x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [USP-S | Orion (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-factory-new) [🟢Kick: Activ3C0ma](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%F0%9F%9F%A2Kick%3A%20Activ3C0ma) $47.83 68.33 coins $78.40 112 coins 1.64x 2026-11-10 03:39 UTC [R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-battle-scarred) [ViggerMcNieger](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/ViggerMcNieger) $48.73 69.62 coins $3.68 5.26 coins 0.08x 2026-11-07 03:56 UTC [R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-fade-factory-new) Hidden $48.73 69.62 coins $87.50 125 coins 1.80x 2026-11-07 03:56 UTC [SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) Hidden $48.73 69.62 coins $81.20 116 coins 1.67x 2026-11-07 03:56 UTC [SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) Hidden $48.73 69.62 coins $81.20 116 coins 1.67x 2026-11-07 03:56 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 14:08 UTC | $47.83 | 90.91% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $47.83 | 90.91% | 19 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $47.53 | 90.91% | 19 | | 6 Nov, 10:50 UTC | $48.73 | 90.90% | 19 | | 5 Nov, 22:45 UTC | $48.73 | 90.91% | 19 | | 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $48.74 | 90.91% | 19 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $48.76 | 90.90% | 19 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 34.9% restricted 10.1% classified 25.1% industrial 10.0% mil spec 20.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt