--- title: "Wipeout case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wipeout ($55.78) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 12 items with odds, observed 80.72% over 119 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wipeout rendered: 2026-11-11T13:08Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Wipeout](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wipeout) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Wipeout A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wipeout?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wipeout?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wipeout) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wipeout?window=all) Price · $55.78 · 79.69 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $50.71 from 12 items Observed RTP, 30d · 80.72% · 119 openings, odds method Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.0% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 69.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 4 openings · below min 7 days · 80.56% ±22.70 116 openings 30 days · 80.72% ±22.41 119 openings since tracking started · 80.72% ±22.41 119 openings -0.5% 109.5% 219.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wipeout?window=24h) | 4 | 98.55% ±120.5 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wipeout?window=7d) | 116 | 80.56% ±22.7 | −0.9σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wipeout) | 119 | 80.72% ±22.4 | −0.9σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wipeout?window=all) | 119 | 80.72% ±22.4 | −0.9σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 12 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 119 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 400 | $1,114 1,591 coins | 5.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $249 356 coins | 1.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — | | [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 222 | $239 342 coins | 2.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — | | [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $118 168 coins | 34.8% | 15 | 17.9 | 0.84× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $109 155 coins | 4.3% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.68× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $77.00 110 coins | 4.6% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.12× | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Mogul (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-well-worn) | 10.0% | $71.40 102 coins | 14.1% | 10 | 11.9 | 0.84× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Bright Water (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-bright-water-well-worn) | 19.0% | $46.54 66.48 coins | 17.4% | 23 | 22.6 | 1.02× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Overtake (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-well-worn) | 20.0% | $39.98 57.12 coins | 15.8% | 21 | 23.8 | 0.88× | | [P250 \| Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.02 0.03 coins | 0.0% | 8 | 11.9 | 0.67× | | [PP-Bizon \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 10.0% | $0.01 0.02 coins | 0.0% | 16 | 11.9 | 1.34× | | [MP9 \| Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) | 10.0% | \<$0.01 0.01 coins | 0.0% | 17 | 11.9 | 1.43× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=wipeout) [PP-Bizon | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $55.78 79.69 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 20:53 UTC [★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-mogul-well-worn) Hidden $55.78 79.69 coins $71.40 102 coins 1.28x 2026-11-10 20:53 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-well-worn) Hidden $55.78 79.69 coins $39.98 57.12 coins 0.72x 2026-11-10 20:53 UTC [★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [Dab](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Dab) $55.78 79.69 coins $109 155 coins 1.95x 2026-11-10 20:53 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [Äitinkone](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/%C3%84itinkone) $55.78 79.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-10 02:16 UTC [★ Driver Gloves | Overtake (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-overtake-well-worn) Hidden $55.78 79.69 coins $39.98 57.12 coins 0.72x 2026-11-10 02:16 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) [UnfairScroll27](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/UnfairScroll27) $55.78 79.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 18:47 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $55.78 79.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 18:47 UTC [MP9 | Sand Dashed (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-sand-dashed-field-tested) Hidden $55.78 79.69 coins \<$0.01 0.01 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 18:47 UTC [P250 | Boreal Forest (Field-Tested) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-boreal-forest-field-tested) Hidden $55.78 79.69 coins $0.01 0.02 coins 0.00x 2026-11-08 18:47 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $55.78 | 90.91% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $55.78 | 90.91% | 12 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $55.91 | 90.91% | 12 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $56.59 | 90.91% | 12 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed classified 0.3% covert 39.8% extraordinary 30.0% consumer 30.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt