---
title: "Wisdom case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Wisdom ($13.96) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 13 items with odds, observed 89.93% over 4,174 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wisdom
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Wisdom](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wisdom)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Wisdom

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wisdom?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wisdom?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wisdom) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wisdom?window=all)

Price · $13.96 · 19.95 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $12.70 from 13 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.93% · 4,174 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 12 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 85.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 92.20% ±19.21 557 openings

7 days · 87.75% ±7.53 3,645 openings

30 days · 89.93% ±7.04 4,174 openings

since tracking started · 89.93% ±7.04 4,174 openings

72.5% 92.3% 112.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wisdom?window=24h) | 557 | 92.20% ±19.2 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wisdom?window=7d) | 3,645 | 87.75% ±7.53 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wisdom) | 4,174 | 89.93% ±7.04 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wisdom?window=all) | 4,174 | 89.93% ±7.04 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 13 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,174 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 20,000 | $330 472 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Survival Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · epic · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-survival-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 2,000 | $236 337 coins | 0.9% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Hazard (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $164 234 coins | 10.3% | 26 | 33.4 | 0.78× |
| [Souvenir USP-S \| Road Rash (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-usp-s-road-rash-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $124 177 coins | 29.3% | 120 | 125.2 | 0.96× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $109 155 coins | 4.3% | 21 | 20.9 | 1.01× |
| [Sticker \| shox (Gold) \| Katowice 2019 sticker · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-shox-gold-katowice-2019) | 1 in 25 | $98.00 140 coins | 30.9% | 182 | 167.0 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $27.57 39.39 coins | 13.0% | 257 | 250.4 | 1.03× |
| [Souvenir AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $13.55 19.35 coins | 0.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Isaac (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-isaac-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $7.16 10.23 coins | 8.5% | 655 | 626.1 | 1.05× |
| [Tec-9 \| Avalanche (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-well-worn) | 15.0% | $1.02 1.46 coins | 1.2% | 621 | 626.1 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Blood Moon Wave Rider sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blood-moon-wave-rider) | 15.0% | $0.47 0.67 coins | 0.6% | 593 | 626.1 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Sunset Ocean Tentaskull sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunset-ocean-tentaskull) | 18.6% | $0.39 0.55 coins | 0.6% | 771 | 777.8 | 0.99× |
| [Sticker \| Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) | 22.0% | $0.22 0.31 coins | 0.4% | 927 | 918.3 | 1.01× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=wisdom)

[Sticker | Sunset Ocean Tentaskull sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunset-ocean-tentaskull) Hidden $13.96 19.95 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[Tec-9 | Avalanche (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-well-worn) Hidden $13.96 19.95 coins $1.02 1.46 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[Sticker | Sunset Ocean Tentaskull sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-sunset-ocean-tentaskull) [dinmor](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/dinmor) $13.96 19.95 coins $0.39 0.55 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 13:03 UTC

[Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) Hidden $13.96 19.95 coins $0.22 0.31 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[Tec-9 | Avalanche (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-well-worn) Hidden $13.96 19.95 coins $1.02 1.46 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[Tec-9 | Avalanche (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-avalanche-well-worn) Hidden $13.96 19.95 coins $1.02 1.46 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[Sticker | Go Boom (Glitter) sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-go-boom-glitter) Hidden $13.96 19.95 coins $0.22 0.31 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Isaac (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-isaac-minimal-wear) Hidden $13.96 19.95 coins $7.16 10.23 coins 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Isaac (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-isaac-minimal-wear) [Emz](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Emz) $13.96 19.95 coins $7.16 10.23 coins 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:00 UTC

[Sticker | Blood Moon Wave Rider sticker · High Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-blood-moon-wave-rider) [doubledown](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/doubledown) $13.96 19.95 coins $0.47 0.67 coins 0.03x 2026-11-11 12:55 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | $13.96 | 90.92% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $13.99 | 90.90% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $13.95 | 90.89% | 13 |
| 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $14.11 | 90.92% | 13 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $14.11 | 90.91% | 13 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.5% epic 0.1% mil spec 15.8% restricted 18.0% extraordinary 4.0% classified 6.0% High Grade 15.0% high 18.6% remarkable 22.0% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt