--- title: "Wormhole case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Wormhole ($92.59) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 16 items with odds, observed 89.98% over 2,487 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wormhole rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Wormhole](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wormhole) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Wormhole A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wormhole?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wormhole?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wormhole) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wormhole?window=all) Price · $92.59 · 132 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $84.17 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.98% · 2,487 openings, odds method Variance · 2.8× · of price², per opening Tail share · 21.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 58.2% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 98.74% ±22.97 202 openings 7 days · 89.90% ±7.60 1,827 openings 30 days · 89.98% ±6.51 2,487 openings since tracking started · 89.98% ±6.51 2,487 openings 75.0% 98.8% 122.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wormhole?window=24h) | 202 | 98.74% ±23.0 | +0.7σ | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wormhole?window=7d) | 1,827 | 89.90% ±7.60 | −0.3σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wormhole) | 2,487 | 89.98% ±6.51 | −0.3σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wormhole?window=all) | 2,487 | 89.98% ±6.51 | −0.3σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,487 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 10,000 | $11.4K 16,295 coins | 1.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $1,091 1,559 coins | 3.9% | 9 | 7.5 | 1.21× | | [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 500 | $1,047 1,496 coins | 2.5% | 6 | 5.0 | 1.21× | | [★ Flip Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Sapphire) knife · covert · Sapphire](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-doppler-factory-new-sapphire) | 1 in 10,000 | $816 1,166 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $652 932 coins | 2.3% | 8 | 7.5 | 1.07× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $346 494 coins | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — | | [P90 \| Astral Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-astral-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $328 469 coins | 3.9% | 21 | 24.9 | 0.84× | | [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $209 298 coins | 9.9% | 105 | 99.5 | 1.06× | | [P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) | 16.0% | $174 249 coins | 33.1% | 405 | 397.9 | 1.02× | | [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $123 176 coins | 11.7% | 168 | 199.0 | 0.84× | | [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) | 12.0% | $97.30 139 coins | 13.9% | 295 | 298.4 | 0.99× | | [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $85.40 122 coins | 6.1% | 166 | 149.2 | 1.11× | | [★ Navaja Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $42.17 60.24 coins | 1.5% | 69 | 74.6 | 0.92× | | [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 10.0% | $41.03 58.61 coins | 4.9% | 225 | 248.7 | 0.90× | | [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 21.2% | $13.66 19.51 coins | 3.4% | 542 | 526.5 | 1.03× | | [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-well-worn) | 18.0% | $6.43 9.19 coins | 1.4% | 467 | 447.7 | 1.04× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [Table flip :) csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Table%20flip%20%3A%29%20csgoroll.com) $93.87 134 coins $1,126 1,609 coins 12.00x 2026-11-07 19:53 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $93.87 134 coins $1,126 1,609 coins 12.00x 2026-11-06 13:47 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $93.87 134 coins $1,126 1,609 coins 12.00x 2026-11-05 14:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $93.87 134 coins $1,126 1,609 coins 12.00x 2026-11-05 14:11 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $93.87 134 coins $1,126 1,609 coins 12.00x 2026-11-03 08:40 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $93.87 134 coins $1,126 1,609 coins 12.00x 2026-11-02 22:55 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $93.87 134 coins $1,126 1,609 coins 12.00x 2026-11-02 22:52 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) [Philiacos](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Philiacos) $93.87 134 coins $1,126 1,609 coins 12.00x 2026-11-02 22:42 UTC [M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $92.59 132 coins $1,091 1,559 coins 11.79x 2026-11-10 14:51 UTC [★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Autotronic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-autotronic-minimal-wear) [Gohan](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Gohan) $92.59 132 coins $1,047 1,496 coins 11.31x 2026-11-10 01:47 UTC ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=wormhole) [P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $92.59 132 coins $174 249 coins 1.88x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC [P90 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) Hidden $92.59 132 coins $174 249 coins 1.88x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC [M4A4 | Cyber Security (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-factory-new) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $92.59 132 coins $97.30 139 coins 1.05x 2026-11-11 12:28 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) Hidden $92.59 132 coins $123 176 coins 1.33x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC [Tec-9 | Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) [Jpoke](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jpoke) $92.59 132 coins $13.66 19.51 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 12:09 UTC [Tec-9 | Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) Hidden $92.59 132 coins $13.66 19.51 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:48 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) Hidden $92.59 132 coins $123 176 coins 1.33x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [P250 | Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) Hidden $92.59 132 coins $123 176 coins 1.33x 2026-11-11 11:43 UTC [Tec-9 | Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) Hidden $92.59 132 coins $13.66 19.51 coins 0.15x 2026-11-11 11:42 UTC [StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-well-worn) Hidden $92.59 132 coins $6.43 9.19 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 11:30 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $92.59 | 90.91% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $93.05 | 90.91% | 16 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $93.87 | 90.91% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 39.5% classified 33.5% extraordinary 0.0% restricted 27.0% best hit $1,126 (12.00x) 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt