---
title: "Wrapped case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Wrapped ($82.70) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 9 items with odds, observed 103.67% over 469 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wrapped
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Wrapped](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wrapped)

# [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Wrapped

A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wrapped?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wrapped?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wrapped) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wrapped?window=all)

Price · $82.70 · 118 coins

Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $75.18 from 9 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 103.67% · 469 openings, odds method

Variance · 25.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 77 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 92.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 72 openings · below min

7 days · 109.85% ±47.80 428 openings

30 days · 103.67% ±45.67 469 openings

since tracking started · 103.67% ±45.67 469 openings

57.5% 188.5% 319.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wrapped?window=24h) | 72 | 202.60% ±116.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wrapped?window=7d) | 428 | 109.85% ±47.8 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wrapped) | 469 | 103.67% ±45.7 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/wrapped?window=all) | 469 | 103.67% ±45.7 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 9 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 469 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) | 1 in 333 | $7,000 10,000 coins | 27.9% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.42× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 100 | $1,691 2,416 coins | 22.5% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 45 | $225 321 coins | 6.6% | 16 | 10.3 | 1.55× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $159 227 coins | 9.5% | 27 | 21.1 | 1.28× |
| [USP-S \| Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) | 14.5% | $68.93 98.47 coins | 13.3% | 67 | 68.0 | 0.99× |
| [FAMAS \| Afterimage (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $38.02 54.31 coins | 4.0% | 36 | 37.5 | 0.96× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 20.0% | $29.02 41.46 coins | 7.7% | 84 | 93.8 | 0.90× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 18.0% | $24.75 35.36 coins | 5.9% | 91 | 84.4 | 1.08× |
| [FAMAS \| Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-minimal-wear) | 31.5% | $5.96 8.51 coins | 2.5% | 142 | 147.7 | 0.96× |

Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 08:26 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $82.70 118 coins $7,000 10,000 coins 84.65x 2026-11-10 17:36 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $82.70 118 coins $7,000 10,000 coins 84.65x 2026-11-09 20:55 UTC

[★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New) (Black Pearl) knife · covert · Black Pearl](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-doppler-factory-new-black-pearl) Hidden $82.30 118 coins $7,000 10,000 coins 85.06x 2026-11-03 23:11 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $82.30 118 coins $1,702 2,431 coins 20.68x 2026-11-07 09:25 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $82.70 118 coins $1,691 2,416 coins 20.45x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $82.70 118 coins $1,691 2,416 coins 20.45x 2026-11-09 19:02 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) [Mivjoh](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Mivjoh) $82.70 118 coins $1,691 2,416 coins 20.45x 2026-11-09 18:55 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=wrapped)

[FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-minimal-wear) Hidden $82.70 118 coins $5.96 8.51 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:58 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-minimal-wear) Hidden $82.70 118 coins $24.75 35.36 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 10:58 UTC

[FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-factory-new) Hidden $82.70 118 coins $38.02 54.31 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 10:58 UTC

[M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $82.70 118 coins $159 227 coins 1.92x 2026-11-11 10:58 UTC

[FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-minimal-wear) Hidden $82.70 118 coins $5.96 8.51 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Karambit | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-karambit-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) Hidden $82.70 118 coins $1,691 2,416 coins 20.45x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC

[FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-afterimage-factory-new) Hidden $82.70 118 coins $38.02 54.31 coins 0.46x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC

[USP-S | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-dark-water-minimal-wear) [Jhon csgoroll.com](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Jhon%20csgoroll.com) $82.70 118 coins $68.93 98.47 coins 0.83x 2026-11-11 10:54 UTC

[FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-minimal-wear) Hidden $82.70 118 coins $5.96 8.51 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:52 UTC

[FAMAS | Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-valence-minimal-wear) Hidden $82.70 118 coins $5.96 8.51 coins 0.07x 2026-11-11 10:52 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $82.70 | 90.91% | 9 |
| 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $81.92 | 90.91% | 9 |
| 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $82.30 | 90.91% | 9 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 28.0% restricted 46.0% classified 26.0% best hit $7,000 (84.65x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt