--- title: "X-Ray case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "X-Ray ($110.25) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.91% from 14 items with odds, observed 89.36% over 48 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/x-ray rendered: 2026-11-11T19:45Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [X-Ray](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/x-ray) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · X-Ray A case on CSGORoll, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/x-ray?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/x-ray?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/x-ray) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/x-ray?window=all) Price · $110.25 · 158 coins Advertised RTP · 90.91% · EV $100.22 from 14 items Observed RTP, 30d · 89.36% · 48 openings, odds method Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening Tail share · 27.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 67.4% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 10 openings · below min 7 days · 34 openings · below min 30 days · 48 openings · below min since tracking started · 48 openings · below min 33.0% 71.5% 110.0% **Small sample.** 48 openings and 13.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/x-ray?window=24h) | 10 | 69.81% ±36.3 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/x-ray?window=7d) | 34 | 89.51% ±19.7 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/x-ray) | 48 | 89.36% ±16.6 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/x-ray?window=all) | 48 | 89.36% ±16.6 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 14 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 48 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $398 568 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 100 | $274 391 coins | 2.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 15.0% | $190 272 coins | 28.5% | 8 | 7.2 | 1.11× | | [★ Huntsman Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $175 250 coins | 5.2% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× | | [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $174 249 coins | 13.9% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.78× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $134 192 coins | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AWP \| Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $114 163 coins | 5.7% | 5 | 2.4 | 2.08× | | [★ Bowie Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $101 144 coins | 5.0% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× | | [MP9 \| Stained Glass (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-stained-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $93.80 134 coins | 8.4% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.69× | | [M4A1-S \| Master Piece (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-master-piece-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $89.60 128 coins | 7.2% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.78× | | [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) | 10.0% | $79.10 113 coins | 7.9% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.04× | | [★ Gut Knife \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $75.60 108 coins | 3.8% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.42× | | [★ Shadow Daggers \| Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $55.69 79.56 coins | 3.9% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.89× | | [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 23.4% | $24.22 34.6 coins | 5.7% | 12 | 11.2 | 1.07× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=x-ray) [MP9 | Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-minimal-wear) Hidden $110 158 coins $190 272 coins 1.73x 2026-11-11 16:13 UTC [★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-ultraviolet-minimal-wear) Hidden $110 158 coins $55.69 79.56 coins 0.51x 2026-11-11 16:13 UTC [AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) Hidden $110 158 coins $114 163 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 16:13 UTC [M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) [BeastafiedBeast](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/BeastafiedBeast) $110 158 coins $24.22 34.6 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 16:13 UTC [M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) Hidden $110 158 coins $24.22 34.6 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) Hidden $110 158 coins $24.22 34.6 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [AK-47 | Case Hardened (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) Hidden $110 158 coins $174 249 coins 1.58x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) Hidden $110 158 coins $24.22 34.6 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [AWP | Graphite (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-graphite-minimal-wear) Hidden $110 158 coins $114 163 coins 1.03x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC [M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) [Lars](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Lars) $110 158 coins $24.22 34.6 coins 0.22x 2026-11-11 15:20 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $110 | 90.91% | 14 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $110 | 90.91% | 14 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $109 | 90.91% | 14 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 21.5% mil spec 25.0% classified 44.4% extraordinary 0.1% restricted 9.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.91 on average: an expected loss of $9.09 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt