--- title: "Yellow Tape case on CSGORoll: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Yellow Tape ($41.35) on CSGORoll, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 90.92% from 16 items with odds, observed 92.19% over 504 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/yellow-tape rendered: 2026-11-11T17:40Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) / [Yellow Tape](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/yellow-tape) # [CSGORoll](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgoroll) · Yellow Tape A case on CSGORoll (25%), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORoll's own item price converted from Roll coins at the rate on the site page. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/yellow-tape?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/yellow-tape?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/yellow-tape) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/yellow-tape?window=all) Price · $41.35 · 59.07 coins Advertised RTP · 90.92% · EV $37.59 from 16 items Observed RTP, 30d · 92.19% · 504 openings, odds method Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening Tail share · 12.5% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 75.0% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 24 hours · 12 openings · below min 7 days · 89.17% ±16.08 386 openings 30 days · 92.19% ±14.09 504 openings since tracking started · 92.19% ±14.09 504 openings -0.5% 79.5% 159.5% ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/yellow-tape?window=24h) | 12 | 68.79% ±90.2 | — | odds | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/yellow-tape?window=7d) | 386 | 89.17% ±16.1 | −0.2σ | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/yellow-tape) | 504 | 92.19% ±14.1 | +0.2σ | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgoroll/yellow-tape?window=all) | 504 | 92.19% ±14.1 | +0.2σ | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 16 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 504 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [AK-47 \| Gold Arabesque (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-gold-arabesque-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $1,067 1,524 coins | 2.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Nocts (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-nocts-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $505 721 coins | 2.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — | | [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Black Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 200 | $358 511 coins | 4.8% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.79× | | [Sticker \| Crown (Foil) sticker · exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-crown-foil) | 1 in 400 | $329 470 coins | 2.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× | | [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $191 273 coins | 10.2% | 10 | 10.1 | 0.99× | | [★ Hand Wraps \| CAUTION! (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-caution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $155 221 coins | 6.2% | 7 | 7.6 | 0.93× | | [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $108 154 coins | 14.3% | 27 | 25.2 | 1.07× | | [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $102 145 coins | 8.1% | 22 | 15.1 | 1.46× | | [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Black Limba (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-black-limba-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $101 144 coins | 20.1% | 45 | 37.8 | 1.19× | | [MP9 \| Bulldozer (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bulldozer-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $90.30 129 coins | 12.0% | 25 | 25.2 | 0.99× | | [Souvenir MAG-7 \| Bulldozer (Minimal Wear) Souvenir · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mag-7-bulldozer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $38.41 54.87 coins | 8.2% | 43 | 40.3 | 1.07× | | [Souvenir AWP \| Black Nile (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-black-nile-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $22.32 31.88 coins | 4.7% | 39 | 40.3 | 0.97× | | [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 12.0% | $12.42 17.75 coins | 4.0% | 56 | 60.5 | 0.93× | | [XM1014 \| Black Tie (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-battle-scarred) | 12.0% | $0.90 1.28 coins | 0.3% | 57 | 60.5 | 0.94× | | [Negev \| Bulkhead (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bulkhead-factory-new) | 17.5% | $0.19 0.27 coins | 0.1% | 82 | 88.2 | 0.93× | | [MP9 \| Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) | 17.5% | $0.09 0.13 coins | 0.0% | 88 | 88.2 | 1.00× | Values are CSGORoll's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgoroll:graphql boxes.slots.rate`, 11 Nov, 14:28 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgoroll&case=yellow-tape) [XM1014 | Black Tie (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-battle-scarred) Hidden $41.35 59.07 coins $0.90 1.28 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC [Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-bulkhead-factory-new) Hidden $41.35 59.07 coins $0.19 0.27 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC [XM1014 | Black Tie (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-battle-scarred) Hidden $41.35 59.07 coins $0.90 1.28 coins 0.02x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Black Limba (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-black-limba-factory-new) Hidden $41.35 59.07 coins $101 144 coins 2.44x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC [Souvenir AWP | Black Nile (Factory New) Souvenir · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-awp-black-nile-factory-new) Hidden $41.35 59.07 coins $22.32 31.88 coins 0.54x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) [Michał](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgoroll/Micha%C5%82) $41.35 59.07 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) Hidden $41.35 59.07 coins $0.09 0.13 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) Hidden $41.35 59.07 coins $0.09 0.13 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [MP9 | Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) Hidden $41.35 59.07 coins $0.09 0.13 coins 0.00x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC [StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) Hidden $41.35 59.07 coins $12.42 17.75 coins 0.30x 2026-11-11 05:09 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | $41.35 | 90.92% | 16 | | 9 Nov, 08:05 UTC | $41.36 | 90.90% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 23:33 UTC | $41.35 | 90.91% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 17:30 UTC | $41.28 | 90.92% | 16 | | 8 Nov, 11:27 UTC | $41.43 | 90.91% | 16 | | 6 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $41.43 | 90.91% | 16 | | 5 Nov, 10:39 UTC | $41.43 | 90.91% | 16 | | 3 Nov, 09:32 UTC | $41.43 | 90.90% | 16 | | 2 Nov, 21:39 UTC | $41.42 | 90.91% | 16 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed covert 3.6% extraordinary 6.7% exotic 0.3% mil spec 17.5% restricted 25.0% classified 12.0% industrial 17.5% Mil Spec 17.5% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.92 on average: an expected loss of $9.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt