---
title: "3dmax team case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "3dmax team ($15.49) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.96% from 42 items with odds, observed 119.70% over 2 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/3dmax-team
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:38Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [3dmax team](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/3dmax-team)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · 3dmax team

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/3dmax-team?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/3dmax-team?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/3dmax-team) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/3dmax-team?window=all)

Price · $15.49

Advertised RTP · 93.96% · EV $14.56 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 119.70% · 2 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 2 openings · below min

30 days · 2 openings · below min

since tracking started · 2 openings · below min

-0.5% 167.8% 336.0%

**Small sample.** 2 openings and 0.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/3dmax-team?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/3dmax-team?window=7d) | 2 | 119.70% ±215.8 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/3dmax-team) | 2 | 119.70% ±215.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/3dmax-team?window=all) | 2 | 119.70% ±215.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Sticker \| HellRaisers (Holo) \| Katowice 2014 sticker · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hellraisers-holo-katowice-2014) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $9,155 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $7,944 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $7,653 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) gloves · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $5,341 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Knight (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-knight-factory-new) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $2,729 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Medusa (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-medusa-field-tested) | 1 in 500,000 | $2,218 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fire Serpent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fire-serpent-field-tested) | 1 in 333,333 | $2,205 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 166,667 | $1,331 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Ultra Violent (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-ultra-violent-field-tested) | 1 in 90,909 | $907 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 62,500 | $761 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 55,556 | $711 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23,256 | $510 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Turtle (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-turtle-factory-new) | 1 in 15,873 | $510 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 10,101 | $357 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 4,255 | $271 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 1,712 | $179 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,065 | $154 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 451 | $111 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 224 | $85.79 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Minimal Wear) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 150 | $71.07 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $51.01 | 4.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $49.57 | 4.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Oligarch (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-oligarch-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $44.82 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 57 | $38.59 | 4.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $35.02 | 5.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $34.99 | 5.8% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $27.42 | 6.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $23.45 | 6.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $18.95 | 7.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $17.23 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $13.00 | 6.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $11.27 | 5.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| The End (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-the-end-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $10.20 | 4.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $6.89 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $6.79 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 1 in 17 | $6.69 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $5.27 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $4.69 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Stratosphere (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-stratosphere-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $3.66 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $2.19 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $1.87 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Trace Lock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-trace-lock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $1.75 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/3dmax_team/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=3dmax-team)

[UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-field-tested) [BE HUMBLE](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/BE%20HUMBLE) $15.49 $2.19 0.14x 2026-11-09 20:54 UTC

[M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) [supa](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/supa) $15.57 $34.99 2.25x 2026-11-05 05:06 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $15.49 | 93.96% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $15.57 | 93.48% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $15.57 | 95.13% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed remarkable 0.0% contraband 0.0% covert 3.8% legendary 0.0% classified 44.5% Covert 0.2% sunny 0.0% gold 0.0% extraordinary 0.1% rare 2.4% red 4.7% Ancient 2.4% pink 13.1% restricted 10.1% Mythical 9.2% Classified 4.9% violet 4.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.96 on average: an expected loss of $6.04 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt