---
title: "Attackontitan case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Attackontitan ($0.14) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.95% from 42 items with odds, observed 104.29% over 8,635 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attackontitan
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Attackontitan](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attackontitan)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Attackontitan

A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attackontitan?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attackontitan?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attackontitan) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attackontitan?window=all)

Price · $0.14

Advertised RTP · 88.95% · EV $0.12 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 104.29% · 8,635 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 85.34% ±12.54 436 openings

7 days · 87.45% ±6.01 2,020 openings

30 days · 104.29% ±3.01 8,635 openings

since tracking started · 104.29% ±3.01 8,635 openings

72.0% 90.0% 108.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 95.83% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (101.28% – 107.30%, 8,635 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attackontitan?window=24h) | 436 | 85.34% ±12.5 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attackontitan?window=7d) | 2,020 | 87.45% ±6.01 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attackontitan) | 8,635 | 104.29% ±3.01 | +5.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attackontitan?window=all) | 8,635 | 104.29% ±3.01 | +5.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 8,636 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $60.56 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sticker \| Swag (Foil) sticker · Exotic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-swag-foil) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $45.48 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Constrictor (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-constrictor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $40.51 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-battle-scarred) | 1 in 333,333 | $17.79 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 38,462 | $5.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P90 \| Virus (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-virus-well-worn) | 1 in 8,475 | $4.21 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.98× |
| [P250 \| Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-kintsugi-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20,833 | $4.06 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wintergreen (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wintergreen-factory-new) | 1 in 16,949 | $3.55 | 0.2% | 3 | 0.5 | — |
| [USP-S \| Sleeping Potion (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-sleeping-potion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15,873 | $3.39 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AWP \| Black Nile (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-nile-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,101 | $2.97 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Breakthrough (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-breakthrough-field-tested) | 1 in 4,630 | $2.24 | 0.4% | 5 | 1.9 | 2.68× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mulberry (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mulberry-well-worn) | 1 in 4,525 | $2.10 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.57× |
| [M4A1-S \| Liquidation (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-liquidation-field-tested) | 1 in 4,016 | $2.04 | 0.4% | 5 | 2.2 | 2.33× |
| [M4A1-S \| Solitude (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-field-tested) | 1 in 1,808 | $1.48 | 0.7% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bunsen Burner (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bunsen-burner-field-tested) | 1 in 351 | $0.72 | 1.6% | 29 | 24.6 | 1.18× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-well-worn) | 1 in 351 | $0.71 | 1.6% | 32 | 24.6 | 1.30× |
| [P90 \| Reef Grief (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-reef-grief-factory-new) | 1 in 269 | $0.69 | 2.1% | 26 | 32.1 | 0.81× |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 279 | $0.69 | 2.0% | 43 | 31.0 | 1.39× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-banana-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 193 | $0.66 | 2.7% | 59 | 44.7 | 1.32× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-battle-scarred) | 1 in 168 | $0.58 | 2.8% | 61 | 51.5 | 1.18× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Angel Eyes (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-angel-eyes-well-worn) | 1 in 142 | $0.55 | 3.1% | 84 | 60.8 | 1.38× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ironwork (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ironwork-well-worn) | 1 in 114 | $0.44 | 3.1% | 86 | 75.6 | 1.14× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Shred (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-shred-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $0.41 | 3.3% | 92 | 86.8 | 1.06× |
| [M4A4 \| Etch Lord (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-etch-lord-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $0.37 | 3.6% | 139 | 105.3 | 1.32× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $0.35 | 3.6% | 120 | 109.8 | 1.09× |
| [USP-S \| Alpine Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $0.32 | 4.5% | 172 | 152.1 | 1.13× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $0.26 | 5.2% | 229 | 214.6 | 1.07× |
| [M4A1-S \| VariCamo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-varicamo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $0.26 | 4.9% | 220 | 201.5 | 1.09× |
| [Desert Eagle \| The Daily Deagle (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-the-daily-deagle-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $0.17 | 7.7% | 491 | 485.9 | 1.01× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mint Fan (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mint-fan-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.17 | 5.7% | 400 | 362.9 | 1.10× |
| [P90 \| Mustard Gas (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-mustard-gas-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $0.13 | 7.4% | 637 | 610.9 | 1.04× |
| [FAMAS \| Vendetta (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-vendetta-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $0.12 | 6.8% | 639 | 610.9 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.11 | 6.1% | 600 | 595.8 | 1.01× |
| [MP9 \| Broken Record (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-broken-record-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $0.09 | 4.8% | 579 | 576.0 | 1.01× |
| [M4A4 \| Poly Mag (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poly-mag-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $0.09 | 4.9% | 563 | 583.3 | 0.97× |
| [Sticker \| w0nderful \| Budapest 2025 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-w0nderful-budapest-2025) | 1 in 17 | $0.07 | 3.3% | 474 | 511.4 | 0.93× |
| [Sticker \| z4KR \| Austin 2025 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-z4kr-austin-2025) | 1 in 15 | $0.05 | 2.6% | 542 | 557.9 | 0.97× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Electric Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-electric-blue-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $0.02 | 1.0% | 486 | 511.4 | 0.95× |
| [Sticker \| Natus Vincere \| 2020 RMR sticker · high](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-natus-vincere-2020-rmr) | 1 in 16 | $0.02 | 1.0% | 502 | 531.5 | 0.94× |
| [Sticker \| YEKINDAR \| Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-yekindar-budapest-2025) | 1 in 18 | $0.01 | 0.4% | 422 | 478.8 | 0.88× |
| [Sticker \| yuurih \| Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-yuurih-budapest-2025) | 1 in 18 | $0.01 | 0.4% | 399 | 478.8 | 0.83× |
| [Sticker \| Wildcard \| Austin 2025 sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-wildcard-austin-2025) | 1 in 17 | $0.01 | 0.5% | 488 | 511.4 | 0.95× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/attackontitan/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=attackontitan)

[Sticker | Wildcard | Austin 2025 sticker · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-wildcard-austin-2025) [Дайкуни](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%D0%94%D0%B0%D0%B9%D0%BA%D1%83%D0%BD%D0%B8) $0.14 $0.01 0.07x 2026-11-11 12:35 UTC

[Sticker | YEKINDAR | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-yekindar-budapest-2025) [cиmфонuя криков](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/c%D0%B8m%D1%84%D0%BE%D0%BDu%D1%8F%20%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.14 $0.01 0.07x 2026-11-11 11:08 UTC

[Sticker | yuurih | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-yuurih-budapest-2025) [cиmфонuя криков](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/c%D0%B8m%D1%84%D0%BE%D0%BDu%D1%8F%20%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.14 $0.01 0.07x 2026-11-11 11:08 UTC

[Sticker | z4KR | Austin 2025 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-z4kr-austin-2025) [cиmфонuя криков](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/c%D0%B8m%D1%84%D0%BE%D0%BDu%D1%8F%20%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.14 $0.05 0.36x 2026-11-11 11:08 UTC

[USP-S | Alpine Camo (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-alpine-camo-well-worn) [cиmфонuя криков](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/c%D0%B8m%D1%84%D0%BE%D0%BDu%D1%8F%20%D0%BA%D1%80%D0%B8%D0%BA%D0%BE%D0%B2) $0.14 $0.32 2.29x 2026-11-11 11:08 UTC

[Sticker | YEKINDAR | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-yekindar-budapest-2025) [Jeff](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Jeff) $0.14 $0.01 0.07x 2026-11-11 05:48 UTC

[Sticker | yuurih | Budapest 2025 sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-yuurih-budapest-2025) [Jeff](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Jeff) $0.14 $0.01 0.07x 2026-11-11 05:48 UTC

[MP9 | Broken Record (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-broken-record-field-tested) [Jeff](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Jeff) $0.14 $0.09 0.64x 2026-11-11 05:47 UTC

[AK-47 | VariCamo Grey (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-varicamo-grey-minimal-wear) [Jeff](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Jeff) $0.14 $0.11 0.79x 2026-11-11 05:47 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Electric Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-electric-blue-field-tested) [Jeff](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Jeff) $0.14 $0.02 0.14x 2026-11-11 05:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $0.14 | 88.95% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.13 | 95.79% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $0.13 | 97.17% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 0.0% Exotic 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% uncommon 0.4% #8847ff 0.9% pink 0.1% blue 6.0% violet 2.5% mil spec 4.9% restricted 0.4% Mil Spec Grade 7.6% #4b69ff 9.2% milspec 5.6% Uncommon 21.0% other 12.4% #5e98d9 5.9% high 6.2% Rare 11.1% common 5.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 89.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.95 on average: an expected loss of $11.05 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt