--- title: "Attention case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker" description: "Attention ($51.58) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 93.98% from 21 items with odds, observed 100.09% over 83 openings in 30 days." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attention rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Attention](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attention) # [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Attention A case on CSGORUN (oldcasesale), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attention?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attention?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attention) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attention?window=all) Price · $51.58 Advertised RTP · 93.98% · EV $48.48 from 21 items Observed RTP, 30d · 100.09% · 83 openings, odds method Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening Tail share · 16.8% · of openings carry half the EV Below price · 70.8% · of openings return less than the price ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample 7 days · 74 openings · below min 30 days · 83 openings · below min since tracking started · 83 openings · below min 67.5% 102.5% 137.5% **Small sample.** 83 openings and 13.9 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attention?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attention?window=7d) | 74 | 103.02% ±33.6 | — | odds | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attention) | 83 | 100.09% ±31.7 | — | odds | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/attention?window=all) | 83 | 100.09% ±31.7 | — | odds | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 83 openings, 30 days Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity. | Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [M4A4 \| Howl (Factory New) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-factory-new) | 1 in 50,000 | $7,944 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 14,925 | $3,597 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 4,386 | $1,699 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — | | [★ Butterfly Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 598 | $711 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — | | [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 213 | $464 | 4.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — | | [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $174 | 9.9% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.31× | | [★ Sport Gloves \| Scarlet Shamagh (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-scarlet-shamagh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $128 | 9.8% | 1 | 3.1 | 0.32× | | [★ Kukri Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/kukri-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $118 | 11.5% | 7 | 3.9 | 1.78× | | [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Field-Tested) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $109 | 11.0% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.23× | | [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 12.5% | $54.98 | 14.1% | 8 | 10.3 | 0.77× | | [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 12.2% | $44.95 | 11.3% | 7 | 10.1 | 0.69× | | [Desert Eagle \| Heat Treated (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-heat-treated-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $34.49 | 6.7% | 6 | 7.8 | 0.76× | | [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 10 | $29.06 | 5.9% | 15 | 8.1 | 1.84× | | [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $28.30 | 5.4% | 9 | 7.7 | 1.18× | | [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $13.00 | 1.7% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.98× | | [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $10.95 | 1.3% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× | | [Glock-18 \| Red Tire (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-red-tire-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $10.79 | 1.0% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.30× | | [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $10.28 | 1.1% | 1 | 4.3 | 0.23× | | [M4A1-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $5.01 | 0.3% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× | | [UMP-45 \| Crimson Foil (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crimson-foil-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $4.12 | 0.2% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.95× | | [Five-SeveN \| Heat Treated (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-heat-treated-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $2.77 | 0.1% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.95× | Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/attention/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=attention) [Glock-18 | Red Tire (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-red-tire-factory-new) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $51.58 $10.79 0.21x 2026-11-08 18:46 UTC [M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $51.58 $28.30 0.55x 2026-11-08 18:46 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $51.58 $29.06 0.56x 2026-11-08 18:45 UTC [SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $51.58 $13.00 0.25x 2026-11-08 18:45 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $51.58 $44.95 0.87x 2026-11-08 18:45 UTC [★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure (Field-Tested) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $51.58 $109 2.11x 2026-11-08 18:45 UTC [AWP | Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $51.58 $44.95 0.87x 2026-11-08 18:45 UTC [AK-47 | Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $51.58 $29.06 0.56x 2026-11-08 18:45 UTC [Glock-18 | Red Tire (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-red-tire-factory-new) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $51.58 $10.79 0.21x 2026-11-08 18:44 UTC [M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-field-tested) [Aleksoda](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Aleksoda) $51.58 $28.30 0.55x 2026-11-08 18:44 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 5 Nov, 23:09 UTC | $51.58 | 93.98% | 21 | | 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $52.42 | 92.48% | 21 | | 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $52.42 | 94.08% | 21 | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed contraband 0.0% classified 28.4% extraordinary 3.7% covert 20.3% Extraordinary 4.9% pink 9.5% Restricted 9.2% Rare 5.7% industrial 4.6% restricted 5.2% mil spec 3.4% violet 5.0% best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.98 on average: an expected loss of $6.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt