---
title: "Azazin case on CSGORUN: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Azazin ($4.99) on CSGORUN, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 95.73% from 42 items with odds, observed 102.74% over 685 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/azazin
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:20Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) / [Azazin](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/azazin)

# [CSGORUN](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/csgorun) · Azazin

A case on CSGORUN (media), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is CSGORUN's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/azazin?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/azazin?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/azazin) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/azazin?window=all)

Price · $4.99

Advertised RTP · 95.73% · EV $4.78 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 102.74% · 685 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 28.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 50.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 116.46% ±12.62 125 openings

7 days · 105.40% ±6.03 548 openings

30 days · 102.74% ±5.46 685 openings

since tracking started · 102.74% ±5.46 685 openings

95.0% 112.3% 129.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 96.49% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (97.28% – 108.20%, 685 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/azazin?window=24h) | 125 | 116.46% ±12.6 | +3.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/azazin?window=7d) | 548 | 105.40% ±6.03 | +3.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/azazin) | 685 | 102.74% ±5.46 | +2.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/csgorun/azazin?window=all) | 685 | 102.74% ±5.46 | +2.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 685 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Imminent Danger (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-imminent-danger-field-tested) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $718 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bloodhound Gloves \| Snakebite (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/bloodhound-gloves-snakebite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000,000 | $200 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-minimal-wear) | 1 in 250,000 | $140 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Jade (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-jade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 142,857 | $117 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 47,619 | $80.07 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12,195 | $68.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Minimal Wear) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,494 | $46.97 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Duct Tape (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-duct-tape-field-tested) | 1 in 4,367 | $43.71 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Moss Quartz (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-moss-quartz-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,387 | $32.36 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Emerald (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-emerald-factory-new) | 1 in 710 | $26.67 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 392 | $19.10 | 1.0% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.72× |
| [SG 553 \| Gator Mesh (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-gator-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 295 | $18.69 | 1.3% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.29× |
| [Tec-9 \| Toxic (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-toxic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 168 | $15.84 | 2.0% | 7 | 4.1 | 1.72× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Chemical Green (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-chemical-green-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $12.06 | 4.3% | 10 | 11.6 | 0.86× |
| [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 95 | $11.83 | 2.6% | 10 | 7.2 | 1.38× |
| [M249 \| Jungle DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-jungle-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $10.25 | 2.8% | 5 | 9.0 | 0.55× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $8.80 | 3.7% | 13 | 13.6 | 0.95× |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $8.45 | 11.4% | 46 | 44.1 | 1.04× |
| [Nova \| Green Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-green-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $7.96 | 4.4% | 22 | 18.2 | 1.21× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Green Plaid (Factory New) weapon · consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-green-plaid-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $7.35 | 4.3% | 15 | 19.3 | 0.78× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $6.60 | 6.0% | 31 | 29.5 | 1.05× |
| [USP-S \| Para Green (Field-Tested) weapon · 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $6.51 | 6.4% | 38 | 31.9 | 1.19× |
| [MP9 \| Green Plaid (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-green-plaid-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $6.33 | 10.1% | 54 | 52.0 | 1.04× |
| [XM1014 \| Monster Melt (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-factory-new) | 1 in 14 | $5.27 | 7.7% | 44 | 47.9 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) | 1 in 14 | $5.13 | 7.5% | 53 | 48.1 | 1.10× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $4.26 | 3.6% | 30 | 27.9 | 1.08× |
| [M249 \| Jungle (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-jungle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $3.74 | 3.1% | 24 | 27.4 | 0.88× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Jungle Thicket (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-jungle-thicket-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $3.47 | 2.8% | 28 | 26.1 | 1.07× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $2.77 | 2.1% | 35 | 24.8 | 1.41× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $2.48 | 1.8% | 21 | 23.9 | 0.88× |
| [Tec-9 \| Mummy's Rot (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-mummys-rot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $2.45 | 1.7% | 26 | 23.0 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $2.01 | 1.3% | 21 | 21.5 | 0.98× |
| [MP5-SD \| Acid Wash (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-acid-wash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $1.89 | 1.2% | 30 | 21.4 | 1.40× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $1.62 | 1.0% | 13 | 20.1 | 0.65× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Serpent Strike (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $1.45 | 0.9% | 11 | 19.3 | 0.57× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $1.37 | 0.8% | 11 | 18.3 | 0.60× |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $1.20 | 0.6% | 17 | 17.5 | 0.97× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-jungle-dashed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $0.95 | 0.5% | 17 | 16.6 | 1.03× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Flora Carnivora (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-flora-carnivora-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $0.93 | 0.5% | 11 | 16.1 | 0.68× |
| [MP9 \| Deadly Poison (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-deadly-poison-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $0.86 | 0.4% | 13 | 15.2 | 0.86× |
| [MAC-10 \| Lapis Gator (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-lapis-gator-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $0.74 | 0.3% | 9 | 14.7 | 0.61× |
| [P250 \| Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bullfrog-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $0.20 | 0.1% | 10 | 9.0 | 1.12× |

Values are CSGORUN's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `csgorun:v1/box/azazin/show`, 11 Nov, 10:14 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=csgorun&case=azazin)

[Sawed-Off | Jungle Thicket (Minimal Wear) weapon · Consumer Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-jungle-thicket-minimal-wear) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $4.99 $3.47 0.70x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC

[AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $4.99 $5.13 1.03x 2026-11-11 14:40 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Jungle Dashed (Minimal Wear) weapon · gray](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-jungle-dashed-minimal-wear) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $4.99 $0.95 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:31 UTC

[XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-monster-melt-factory-new) [Agent Beob](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/Agent%20Beob) $4.99 $5.27 1.06x 2026-11-11 14:16 UTC

[AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $4.99 $5.13 1.03x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[AK-47 | Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $4.99 $2.01 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-poison-dart-field-tested) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $4.99 $2.48 0.50x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[AUG | Plague (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-minimal-wear) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $4.99 $1.62 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Serpent Strike (Factory New) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-serpent-strike-factory-new) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $4.99 $1.45 0.29x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

[XM1014 | Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-minimal-wear) [𝚂𝚝𝚒𝚝𝚌𝚑](https://gambatracker.com/players/csgorun/%F0%9D%9A%82%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%92%F0%9D%9A%9D%F0%9D%9A%8C%F0%9D%9A%91) $4.99 $11.83 2.37x 2026-11-11 13:31 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.99 | 95.73% | 42 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $4.99 | 100.70% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 2 4.7% covert 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% Ancient 0.0% classified 0.3% mil spec 3.9% gold 0.0% industrial 9.8% Industrial Grade 3.0% consumer 6.1% restricted 13.2% #d32ce6 4.3% Consumer 7.6% uncommon 9.8% Consumer Grade 7.8% Restricted 3.6% #4b69ff 3.5% blue 4.7% Mythical 8.0% milspec 5.1% gray 2.4% Rare 2.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 95.7% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $95.73 on average: an expected loss of $4.27 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt